<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <span style=”background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255); color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; text-align:justify”>這可能是今年最大的笑話，菲律賓總統小馬科斯宣稱要介入中國台海，他真拿自己當盤菜，關鍵這話還是說給印度總理莫迪聽的，小馬科斯想拉攏印度對抗中國，他怕是不知道，中印關係已經今非昔比了。</span></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/fce08a5d9a5541d3acd04887465ef8d7~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=32MA%2FH4wPTLq0A4HZa7aUiKJ%2FDA%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”720″ img_width=”1200″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/fce08a5d9a5541d3acd04887465ef8d7~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=32MA%2FH4wPTLq0A4HZa7aUiKJ%2FDA%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/796175a4fbf44b1e86519e1437ada56d” />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>根據外交部網站8月8日發布消息，菲律賓總統小馬科斯在訪問印度期間公開表示，如果中美在台灣問題上發生對抗，菲律賓不可能置身事外。他還聲稱，如果台海發生“全面戰爭”，菲律賓勢必會被捲入其中，因為台灣地區有大量菲律賓國民，到時候，他們將不得不軍事介入。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>說實話，看到這則新聞我沒忍住，笑出了聲，因為我實在沒想到，連美國都沒興趣打台灣牌了，菲律賓竟然還在說三道四，但凡有一點政治嗅覺都能明白，現在還玩這套，是真的有點過時了。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/cacf55f642fc4a78871ac23e5e9bb0f3~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=P%2FmtwmAno6o1MwUwIoQmngSftLs%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”675″ img_width=”1200″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/cacf55f642fc4a78871ac23e5e9bb0f3~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=P%2FmtwmAno6o1MwUwIoQmngSftLs%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/cacf55f642fc4a78871ac23e5e9bb0f3″ />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>話說在拜登當美國總統那會，小馬科斯這番話術還真有點作用，確實能讓菲律賓獲得一點可憐的存在感。那時美國打著「價值觀外交」的大旗，到處組成小圈子，想辦法給中國找麻煩，印度也是美國的重要盟友之一，菲律賓當時若拉攏印度對抗中國，或許能行得通，至少能給中國帶來一點戰略壓力。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>但現在，時代已經改變了。在川普「對等關稅」的催化之下，美國與它的大多數盟友都鬧翻了，拜登設想中的「反華聯盟」還沒問世，就已經胎死腹中，就連昔日被華盛頓吹捧為「民主典範」的印度，也和川普政府鬧得很僵，接下來的8月底，莫迪將會訪問中國，為中印合作鋪路，兩國關係正朝著光明的方向邁進，在這樣的背景下，小馬科斯去印度說中國的壞話，別人聽來只會覺得他是個笑話。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/995c8fe1cfee431dad0044b114389f65~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=ScExrg7y%2BgWKnv5Llq48j6C0rno%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”720″ img_width=”1152″ mime_type=”image/png” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/995c8fe1cfee431dad0044b114389f65~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=ScExrg7y%2BgWKnv5Llq48j6C0rno%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/995c8fe1cfee431dad0044b114389f65″ />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>最近一段時間，美國消停了很多，不再拿台灣問題碰瓷，主要有兩個原因，第一，川普真的很忙，他國內就有很多煩心事，不是跟哈佛大學吵，就是跟馬斯克吵，再加上民主黨政敵隔三差五找茬，他每天都有吵不完的架。包括在國際上，無論是俄烏戰爭，或是巴以衝突，都讓他焦頭爛額，這麼大的工作壓力，哪有心思去找中國的麻煩。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>還有第二個原因，川普已經明白，在台灣問題上，美國繼續糾纏沒有意義，有時候戰略模糊也是給自己留面子，把話說得太絕，只會讓自己難堪。不管拜登還是川普，其實他們都很清楚，現在的亞洲已經不是美國能夠橫行霸道的地區了，真要是在台海打起來，美國12條航母全上場也沒用，都得沉入海底餵魚，所以，在台灣問題上，特朗普政府表現得更加謹慎，不太願意牽扯其中。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/c44d76f8edb44d73bde1cae1616910ce~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=wX0%2BTRiDk8Dy0O9H8Xe1C1kn79s%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”928″ img_width=”1200″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/c44d76f8edb44d73bde1cae1616910ce~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=wX0%2BTRiDk8Dy0O9H8Xe1C1kn79s%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/c44d76f8edb44d73bde1cae1616910ce” />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>很容易理解，當中美兩國軍事力量逐漸趨於平衡，戰爭爆發的可能性只會越來越低，和平也更容易維持。但誰知道，偏偏在這個時候，菲律賓突然跳出來，說要介入台海對付中國，不知道的，還以為小馬科斯的腦子搭錯了哪根筋。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>從軍事力量的角度來講，小馬科斯「聯印抗中」的計畫純粹是癡人說夢。在前不久的印巴空戰當中，印度已經用實力表明，他們是真的沒什麼實力，被巴基斯坦用中國參與研製的武器打成6比0，這要是對上中國，印度只會吃更大的虧。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/4b335aa52dcd47d0810c11b50fcba6ce~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=NSXp0BoVjLMVuvkFbmhZKQB2MmA%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”747″ img_width=”1069″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/4b335aa52dcd47d0810c11b50fcba6ce~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=NSXp0BoVjLMVuvkFbmhZKQB2MmA%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/4b335aa52dcd47d0810c11b50fcba6ce” />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>這就是前不久剛發生的事，可小馬科斯是一點不長記性，他不僅指望印度給他當靠山，還在大量進口印度生產的導彈，想在南海附近跟中國過招。可以預見的是，如果菲律賓繼續一條路走到黑，他們只會得到兩樣東西，一是失敗，二是恥辱，而且這都是小馬科斯憑實力爭取來的。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>小馬科斯在印度的演講非常可笑，他自己知道嗎？我相信，身為老牌政客，他是心裡有數的，但他還是厚著臉皮說了，這就足以表明，他有不得不說的理由。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/815f70fb0ab24d789c5dba66b2cf5b8e~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=7NLAWr9eepmm0oFvTbhlH9Hknyw%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”740″ img_width=”1200″ mime_type=”image/png” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/815f70fb0ab24d789c5dba66b2cf5b8e~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=7NLAWr9eepmm0oFvTbhlH9Hknyw%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/815f70fb0ab24d789c5dba66b2cf5b8e” />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>其實，小馬科斯這番失心瘋的表演，很可能是一場精心設計的政治豪賭。他的動機背後，交織著內政崩盤、依附美國的雙重困境，每一步都透露出政權根基動搖下的歇斯底里。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>先說說菲律賓內政崩盤的事。自從與中國關係鬧僵以後，菲律賓的經濟逐漸滑向深淵，外資暴跌82%，創一年半新低；物價飛漲引發街頭抗議，“反貧困”口號席捲全國，小馬科斯在國情咨文中吹噓的“經濟成就”，早被現實戳破泡沫。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e8dd8c0111c0465a82b00ebc83db8d70~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=9AiyvD3q2IkqEAKYjlotJGCLUZ0%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”763″ img_width=”1200″ mime_type=”image/png” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e8dd8c0111c0465a82b00ebc83db8d70~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=9AiyvD3q2IkqEAKYjlotJGCLUZ0%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e8dd8c0111c0465a82b00ebc83db8d70″ />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>更致命的是政治同盟的瓦解，副總統莎拉輕鬆化解彈劾危機，已成潛在的權力挑戰者；親姐姐伊梅公開質疑他的政策，杜特蒂陣營集體缺席他的演講，一切跡像都表明，他的政治影響力正走向分崩離析。</font><a href=”https://oyesex.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体”>春藥</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; 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font-family:宋体”>印度雙效樂威莊</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:10.5pt; text-align:left”> </span><a href=”https://oyesex.com/product/viagra/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体”><font face=”宋体”>威爾剛</font><font face=”Calibri”>viagra</font></span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:10.5pt; text-align:left”> </span><a href=”https://oyesex.com/product/levitra/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体”>樂威莊</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:10.5pt; text-align:left”> </span><a href=”https://oyesex.com/product/cahojizhubodkjfslkdj/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体”>白鐕雙效片</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:10.5pt; text-align:left”> </span><a href=”https://oyesex.com/product/secret-2/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体”>秘密罪惡春藥</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:10.5pt; text-align:left”> </span><a href=”https://oyesex.com/product/wysys/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体”>午夜失憶水</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:10.5pt; text-align:left”> </span><a href=”https://oyesex.com/product/thrrt/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体”>天使的淚藍寶石</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:10.5pt; text-align:left”> </span></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>所以，小馬科斯此時炒作台海議題，本質是轉移矛盾的政治煙霧彈，把民眾注意力轉向“外部威脅”，內部潰爛便可暫時遮掩，他早已無路可退了。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/0e6e6d12aa514459ba91b8fc4260d216~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=OqomdS3tfXmKSYaK6KxwXZVmNfk%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”675″ img_width=”1200″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/0e6e6d12aa514459ba91b8fc4260d216~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=OqomdS3tfXmKSYaK6KxwXZVmNfk%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/0e6e6d12aa514459ba91b8fc4260d216″ />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>其次，小馬科斯想撬動美國的資源，只有反華這條路可走。他單方面開放軍事基地，供美軍部署中程導彈，換來的卻是特朗普對菲商品加徵19%關稅，菲律賓還需要對美國產品“零關稅”，這種不對等的關係表明，在美國眼中，菲律賓的戰略價值仍然十分有限，而小馬科斯想要重新吸引美國的投資，就必須通過反華來證明，菲律賓還有點用。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>但很顯然，川普不太看重這個，本質上，他和小馬科斯是一種人，都想要更多經濟利益，所以，菲律賓以對抗中國來博取華盛頓的芳心，這條路注定是緣木求魚。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p26-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e471464dea194d459a236acc7d59c029~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=PRMe4pZa3aBYEB2d%2BOWT0iOm4Kc%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”675″ img_width=”1200″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p26-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e471464dea194d459a236acc7d59c029~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755395814&x-signature=PRMe4pZa3aBYEB2d%2BOWT0iOm4Kc%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e471464dea194d459a236acc7d59c029″ />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px !important;”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>其實我們不難發現，小馬科斯在國際上的政治生命已經接近終結了，他想抱美國的大腿，卻壓根抱不上，他想拉攏印度對抗中國，估計莫迪都想跟他劃清界限，就這麼一位「狗不理」的主，估計也只有依靠碰瓷才能引起關注了。</font></p>
