<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; font-weight:700; margin:0px; padding:0px; text-align:justify”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>海峽導報綜合通報</font></strong><font dir=”auto” style=”color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>民進黨當局決定自2026年起，大幅增加整體國防支出，高達9,495億元（新台幣，下同），佔台灣地區GDP比例3.32％。但台灣「中華戰略前瞻協會」研究員揭仲指出，儘管防務支出大增，2026年台國防主管部門預算書卻顯示，作為戰力骨幹的台軍志願役官士兵，流失的情形依然嚴重，更出現三大警訊。揭仲說，這三大警訊，似乎顯示今年4月1日生效的台軍調薪方案，對減緩志願役人力流失的好處並不顯著。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/057fdfe1a0864234ae219706d7b3361b~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758765597&x-signature=4mrGho%2BDo2rbwimrpoYlN0nmkbI%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”497″ img_width=”1024″ mime_type=”image/png” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/057fdfe1a0864234ae219706d7b3361b~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758765597&x-signature=4mrGho%2BDo2rbwimrpoYlN0nmkbI%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/de9d4718d9e447b896996e0287dc407c” />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p data-track=”30″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>揭仲表示，第一大警訊是台軍志願役人員的預算員額，2026年僅剩153965人，與2025年的160749人相較，劇減6784人，形同一年之內又蒸發了兩個聯兵旅。若與2024年的166235人相較，更大減了12770人。其中又以台軍志願役士兵減少的數目最為驚人，2026年僅28436人，比2025年的36637人，劇減8201人，減幅高達22％，只有2024年41670人的68％。</font></p>
<p data-track=”33″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>揭仲進一步說明，在預算員額比實際員額高的情況下，台軍志願役人力的缺口，可能比預算書呈現的更為嚴重。他認為，2026年台軍志願役人員、尤其是志願役士兵預算員額的大幅減少，不排除是近年志願役人員流失的情形太過嚴重，造成主戰部隊志願役人員的缺額居高不下，使台防務部門已實質放棄“主戰部隊維持志願役、義務役集中編成守備部隊”的原則，準備讓更多的總役部隊進入主役。這種方式雖可在數字上提高主戰部隊的編現比，卻會導致部隊的整體戰力下滑。</font></p>
<p data-track=”32″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>揭仲指出，第二個警訊是台軍軍官與士官未服滿規定年限卻申請提前退伍的人數，2026年似乎大幅增加，使2026年「軍官士官未服滿年限退伍賠償收入」的預算編列數高達117525000元，比2025年的85366003元2026年編列金額，更是2023年5,035萬元的2.3倍。尤其是未來數年，將新增66架戰機、4架MQ-9B無人機與大量防空飛彈的台軍空軍，2026年「軍官士官未服滿年限退伍賠償收入」編列38476000元，比2025年20261000元，多出18215000元，增幅是破表的90％，2026年編列金額更幾乎是2025年134550000元的3倍。</font></p>
<p data-track=”34″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>揭仲擔心，若台軍空軍真的出現許多志願役軍士官，寧可賠錢也要提前退伍，未來幾年戰機與防空飛彈部隊擴充所需基層幹部，恐怕會出現不小的缺口。揭仲說，同樣不容輕忽的，還有鼓勵台軍「三軍」資深中、少校飛行員繼續服役的「飛行軍官續服現役獎助金」預算編列數，自2023年起持續下滑，2026年編列78 8134000元，比2025年的82218萬元，減少34046000元，減幅為4％；若與2023年的838282000元相較，已減少50148000元。</font></p>
<p data-track=”35″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>揭仲解釋，這代表2023年後，選擇離開台軍的資深中、少校飛行員人數逐年上升。 2026年獎助金預算減少的金額更是2023年以來之冠，顯示今年選擇退役的資深中、少校飛行員人數，恐怕是2023年後最多，推估可能為30人左右。</font></p>
<p data-track=”36″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>揭仲擔心，以台軍空軍為例，資深中、少校飛行員是長機、任務領隊、分隊長與作戰隊幹部的主要來源，還要擔任新報到飛行員的訓練工作，是飛行部隊的骨幹。在台空軍因接收66架F-16C/D BLOCK70/72戰機，將增編1個聯隊的情況下，資深飛行軍官流失人數的連年增加，恐將在各飛行聯隊引發不利的連鎖效應，導致戰力下滑。</font></p>
<p data-track=”37″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px !important;”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>揭仲提醒，未來幾年台防務部門可能編制金額龐大的年度預算，與總金額可能逼近萬億元的“特別預算”，其中多數將用於採購裝備與彈藥。倘若作為台軍戰力骨幹的志願役人員持續大量流失，屆時台軍恐怕會因為合格人員嚴重不足，導致雖坐擁大量裝備彈藥，戰力卻無法顯著提升。</font><a href=”https://oyesex.com/” style=”text-align: left; 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