獨家觀察：民眾黨拋“藍白合”初步方案，國民黨需展現實力才能“砍價”

<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <span style=”background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255); color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; text-align:justify”>民眾黨主席黃國昌日前宣布，將代表民眾黨參戰2026新北市長選舉。 9月13日，他在受訪者中透露關鍵信號稱，創黨主席柯文哲在交保後，他倆就「藍白合」及2026年「九合一」選舉問題曾深談三小時以上，一直聊到深夜。其中，柯文哲明確表示力挺黃國昌角逐新北市長。

<p data-track=”5″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”>這形同是柯、黃對未來兩場重大選舉「藍白合」的初步方案形成共識：一，2026年民眾黨提名黃國昌參選新北市長，藍白「比民調」決定最終由誰代表「在野黨」出戰；在嘉義市、宜蘭縣等縣市，藍白也將「比民調」決定最後人選。二，2028年“大選”，民眾黨低標是在“藍白合”格局下爭取“在野黨”台灣地區副領導人候選人由民眾黨籍人士擔綱。

<p data-track=”6″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”>這樣的方案，對於民眾黨將派誰與國民黨搭檔參選2028，會帶來幾個變數。第一種可能，若黃國昌2026當選新北市長，那麼，2028年是由柯文哲擔任台灣地區副領導人候選人嗎？第二種可能，如果黃國昌2026年新北市長初選中「比民調」敗給國民黨提名人，他2028年是否擔任台灣地區副領導人候選人？第三種可能，如果黃國昌沒選上新北市長，而柯文哲官司在2028年「大選」登記前就了結，被判無罪，屆時民眾黨是派黃國昌還是派柯文哲參選2028年台灣地區副領導人？

<p data-track=”7″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”>不管怎樣，民眾黨上述「藍白合」方案,其實是「望二保一」的「保底」方案，即最低目標是2028年保住台灣地區副領導人候選人資格，最高目標則是外加2026年爭取多個縣市長候選人資格。

<p data-track=”8″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”>這也是民眾黨向國民黨的「要價」方案，是國民黨是重大考驗。

<p data-track=”9″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”>「藍白合」無論對國民黨還是對民眾黨，都是無可逃避的“必選項”，藍白高層對此都已形成共識。因為，兩黨都深知彼此唇亡齒寒的關係。從當前各種民調以及大罷免中民進黨42%的得票率看，如果2028年「藍白合」破局，民進黨大概率仍可憑藉基本盤打敗國民黨。若賴清德連任成功，民眾黨同樣還會被綠營追殺到底。

<p data-track=”10″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”>只要雙方同意“藍白合”，2028年台灣地區領導人候選人由國民黨人出任，台灣地區副領導人候選人由民眾黨派人擔綱，這是最基本的合作誠意。如此一來，如何處理2026年選舉“藍白合”，就成為關鍵。

<p data-track=”11″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”>局，就是這樣。國民黨要如何面對民眾黨的“要價”，唯有展現出自己的實力，才有在“藍白合”議題上的“砍價”的資本。新北市長選舉，國民黨會輕易「禮讓」給黃國昌嗎？不可能。畢竟，新北市是全台最大票倉，乃兵家必爭之地，國民黨也在這連續執政20年。因此，「比民調」或是最佳整合辦法，贏者將成為藍白共推候選人。黃國昌說了，“藍白陣營若有比我更好的人選，民眾黨也願意合作。”

<p data-track=”12″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px !important;”>國民黨要保住新北市，要取得「藍白合」談判主動權，2026年提名的參選人實力一定要夠強，強到民調勝過黃國昌，讓民眾黨服氣。這個人會是誰呢？從目前來看，台北市副市長李四川是最有可能的人選。李四川最近也表態，「如果明年非我不可，那我一定要我承擔。」<a href=”https://oyesex.com/product/fuck/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”>屌妹妹吊嗨春水</a> <a href=”https://oyesex.com/product/gmjtgh/” style=”text-align: left; 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獨家觀察：民眾黨拋“藍白合”初步方案，國民黨需展現實力才能“砍價”

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