<p style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:medium;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;”> <span style=”text-align:justify”><span style=”font-size:18px”><span style=”font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif”><span style=”color:#222222″><span style=”background-color:#ffffff”>就在8月2日，泰國首都曼谷爆發了大規模抗議活動，接近2000名示威者聚集在曼谷的戰爭紀念碑前，譴責佩通坦在與洪森的通話中出賣了國家與軍隊。抗議活動由反對派團體聯盟組織，已經在6月28日舉行了一次，喊出了要求佩通坦下台的口號。在6月的民調中，佩通坦的支持率已從30.9%暴跌到了9.2%。更為危急的是，佩通坦已經被停職，泰國憲法法院將在8月22日做出判決，是否徹底解除其泰國總理的職務。</span></span></span></span></span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/c5ec1ac2975f4289a846d2a027e9e067~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755402789&x-signature=Riw%2FfqCrENLC9RtSqbBWV8YJ8GE%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”671″ img_width=”991″ mime_type=”image/png” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/c5ec1ac2975f4289a846d2a027e9e067~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755402789&x-signature=Riw%2FfqCrENLC9RtSqbBWV8YJ8GE%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/018d59de9db24afd8a772fc0b0662339″ />
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<p data-track=”8″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>同時，泰國前總理、佩通坦的父親他信也遭遇了司法指控。原來，泰國相關部門正在調查，他信在2023年8月返回泰國以後，以身體狀況不佳為由逃避了坐牢的判決。此外，他信還涉嫌逃亡海外的時候，接受外媒採訪的言論涉嫌侮辱王室。一旦冒犯泰國王室的罪名成立，他信最高可能會被判15年刑期。原本大好形勢，他信家族怎麼會突然面臨危急情勢。非常明顯，泰國內部有一股勢力借助洪森「電話門」事件，對他信家族發動了攻擊。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/7ce4634cd7774a31ab10dcd75051ec79~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755402789&x-signature=eVj58Lm%2B9Vtd%2Ffe%2BPgKlJiEwXUs%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”767″ img_width=”1200″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/7ce4634cd7774a31ab10dcd75051ec79~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755402789&x-signature=eVj58Lm%2B9Vtd%2Ffe%2BPgKlJiEwXUs%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/7ce4634cd7774a31ab10dcd75051ec79″ />
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<h1 data-track=”5″ style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:1.056em;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;line-height:1.579;position:relative;font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>泰國軍方支持率回升，他信家族危急，或兩手準備</span></h1>
<p data-track=”5″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>在5月泰國與柬埔寨爆發邊境衝突後，佩通坦以私人身分與柬埔寨前首相洪森通話。最終，佩通坦的電話錄音被洩露，引發了泰國國內政局的不穩定。不過，泰國軍方卻藉由對柬埔寨軍隊取得大勝，獲得了更好的支持率。根據泰國國內6月的民調，佩通坦支持率暴跌的同時，泰國前總理巴育的支持率有了較大的提升。再來看看參加抗議的泰國民眾，明顯是在支持泰國軍方。因此，依照誰獲利最大、誰嫌疑最大的原則，他信、佩通坦父女面臨的危局，背後極有可能是泰國軍方。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/548e926f9f9f4833b53c5ec84f25b081~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755402789&x-signature=QUDsGRHFxOvUYx2yhfUamuvwCl0%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”500″ img_width=”750″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/548e926f9f9f4833b53c5ec84f25b081~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755402789&x-signature=QUDsGRHFxOvUYx2yhfUamuvwCl0%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/548e926f9f9f4833b53c5ec84f25b081″ />
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<p data-track=”11″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>目前，以為泰黨為首的執政聯盟僅佔擁有254個下議員席位，而以人民陣營為首的反對派卻擁有239個席位，稱得上勢均力敵。如果泰國憲法法院解除了佩通坦的職務，泰國下議院需要選出新一任泰國總理，該國政治格局面臨新一輪洗牌。但客觀地分析一下，泰國政局也極有可能陷入僵局。畢竟，人民陣營與為泰黨分列泰國下議院第一、第二大黨，卻僅佔總議員席次的143席與140席。在泰國下議院無法選出新總理的情況下，泰王拉瑪十世擁有指定總理的權力。</span><a href=”https://lion19.com/” style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span 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<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/83352e2465ed45688a11c149257bbd84~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755402789&x-signature=5uCz7Gks5%2FDhi738h6FMHJAC3L0%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”518″ img_width=”786″ mime_type=”image/png” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/83352e2465ed45688a11c149257bbd84~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755402789&x-signature=5uCz7Gks5%2FDhi738h6FMHJAC3L0%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/83352e2465ed45688a11c149257bbd84″ />
<p style=”box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;margin-bottom:0px !important;”> </p>
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<p data-track=”13″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;margin-bottom:0px !important;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>這樣一來，泰國總理的寶座極有可能回到軍方的手中。面對如此危局，他信或許已經做了兩手準備。如果佩通坦能夠順利過關，繼續擔任泰國總理，他信面對的司法指控可以沉穩應對；如果佩通坦被解除總理的職務，接下來還要應對刑事指控，他信就要考慮再次流亡海外，以及推出其他家族成員從政，避免出現政治代言人真空期。</span></p>
