<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> </p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 18px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/2bb615afe7d443f8a4036e5777ceb731~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755486964&x-signature=dY6iH3flLkN4zy7Ww47sPvD342k%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”735″ img_width=”1024″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/2bb615afe7d443f8a4036e5777ceb731~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755486964&x-signature=dY6iH3flLkN4zy7Ww47sPvD342k%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/b0ee338aceb34a7c9dac7f12f6d598b5″ />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p data-track=”15″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-indent: 2em;”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>7月26日大罷免失利，島內「美麗島電子報」公佈7月最新民調結果，只見賴清德執政滿意度僅34.6％、信任度則是37.2％。對此，「美麗島電子報」董事長吳子嘉預言，賴清德民調年底前就會跌破3成，進而影響2026、2028年選舉，尤其2028年台灣地區領導人選舉不可能會贏。</font></p>
<p data-track=”4″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-indent: 2em;”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>一名台灣網友透過網路節目環節提問，有關「賴清德2028年不可能連任」說法，網友好奇，若2028年台灣地區領導人選舉出現三角督情況，藍白再次分票、是否歷史重演？吳子嘉以2大重點分析，首先是「美麗島電子報」民調，估計賴清德目前只有3成多，年底前可能會跌破3成；換言之，若按照此趨勢持續下滑，吳子嘉認為，他（賴清德）如果沒有一個極大作為的話，反轉不了。</font></p>
<p data-track=”6″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-indent: 2em;”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>吳子嘉進一步表示，如果賴清德民調未來跌破3成，民進黨內部將嚇壞，而2026年地方選舉也將是第一項考驗，若高雄、台南其中一縣市輸掉了，黨主席賴清德恐怕要下台。吳子嘉說，如果2026輸掉了，他2028還要選嗎？他則認為，不應該是賴清德選，民進黨也不會讓他選。</font></p>
<p data-track=”10″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-indent: 2em;”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>吳子嘉補充第3點，他認為2028應不會有三腳督的可能性，因目前藍白結合情況，沒有所謂成熟的第3個候選人；若無三腳督、呈現1對1對決，賴清德上次取得4成選票，如今民調僅3成多，吳子嘉分析，哪有可能贏？不可能贏，我認為完全找不到機會。</font></p>
<p data-track=”12″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-indent: 2em;”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>另外，因為</font><span style=”–tt-darkmode-color:#A3A3A3; border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; color:rgb(0, 0, 0); margin:0px; padding:0px”>柯文哲案</span><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>新黨台北市議員侯漢廷直言，此前京華城、圖利案並非發酵得很大，但後來隨著柯文哲被羈押，以及整個執法過程的粗暴，再加上民進黨日前發酵，迫使藍白合作，形成“復仇者聯盟”，反而讓民眾黨的聲望高漲。</font></p>
<p data-track=”13″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-indent: 2em; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>侯漢廷表示，民進黨偷雞不成蝕把米！賴清德想要瓦解民眾黨的這個目的，其實已經完全失敗了！對民進黨而言，不要瓦解民眾黨，應該讓民眾黨搶國民黨的選票，這才是最有利於民進黨的做法。結果民進黨卻反其道而行，不斷打白營，迫使藍白合作，未來就一定會藍白整合。目前的選票、民調上都可以看出，一對一的PK對決，「藍白合」一定大於民進黨，所以未來民進黨2026年乃至2028年，都有可能慘敗。</font><a href=”https://lion19.com/” style=”text-align: left; 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