<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> </p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 18px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/901b1805382846c7b9f7f27dd0e79d08~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1762066128&x-signature=2Q3M54tZInlamT2yzdKcITIrd6s%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”790″ img_width=”1024″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/901b1805382846c7b9f7f27dd0e79d08~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1762066128&x-signature=2Q3M54tZInlamT2yzdKcITIrd6s%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/8e286214c20c4060b9b77c78f7ee3ecd” />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”> </p>
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<p data-track=”12″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台灣地區領導人賴清德上任一年，聲望在大罷免後走到低點。 「台灣民意基金會」今（21）日公佈最新民調，針對是否贊同賴清德處理政務的方式，結果顯示有34.9%贊同（8.3%非常贊同、26.6%還算贊同），52.5%不贊同（25.4%不太贊同、27.1%一點也不贊同），8.2%不太認同，4.2%不太贊同。 「台灣民意基金會」董事長遊盈隆分析，從傳統台灣地緣政治的七大塊來看，賴清德除了在雲嘉南還擁有舒適的領先外，其他六大區塊都已經是某個意義的淪陷區，其中包括高屏澎。</font></p>
<p data-track=”11″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>遊盈隆指出，從長期趨勢來看，賴清德上任17 個月，過去四個月是他聲望最低，最惹人怨的時刻。一言以蔽之，他已陷入「執政」困境一連四個月。大罷免無疑是造成此現象的單一最重要因素。何時能夠脫離「執政」困境？考慮目前賴清德聲望仍在低檔徘徊，朝野政治僵局持續，台灣民怨仍居高不下的狀態下，除非有重大人事、政策變革等利多因素出現，否則「執政」困境再居高不下的狀態下，除非有重大人事、政策變革等利多因素出現，否則「執政」困境再持續一段時間，是可預期的。</font></p>
<p data-track=”10″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>遊盈隆分析，從傳統台灣地緣政治的七大塊來看，賴清德除了在雲嘉南還擁有舒適的領先外，其他六大區塊都已經是某個意義的淪陷區，其中包括高屏澎。台北市三成一贊同，六成九不贊同；新北市三成贊同，五成二不贊同；桃竹苗二成八贊同，六成二不贊同；中彰投，三成三贊同，五成八不贊同；雲嘉南，五成二贊同，三成九不贊同；高屏澎，四成三贊同，四成七不贊同；基宜花東金馬，二成三贊同，四成六不贊同。</font></p>
<p data-track=”9″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>新另外，竹市長高虹安因涉嫌詐領民進助理費案，遭台北地方法院判處7年4月有期徒刑。對此，媒體人董智森就認為，高虹安因涉嫌詐領民代助理費案，這也導致她遭停職，改由副市長邱臣遠代理新竹市長一職。但如果她二審也被判有罪，民進黨當局即可直接派人代理，而這人預估就是2024年代表民進黨參選新竹市民代的林志潔。</font></p>
<p data-track=”8″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>董智森分析，即使高虹安在三審定案前都可參選，但她即使連任成功，也會在宣誓就職當天被拔官，過去像是民代傅崐萁、前台東縣長吳俊立都遇過同樣的情況。因此，董智森認為，民眾黨最終會由熟悉市政的邱臣遠參選。</font></p>
<p data-track=”7″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px !important;”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>不過，董智森進一步補充，國民黨與民眾黨現在面臨一大難題，就是前者的潛在候選人民代鄭正鶴、後者的潛在候選人邱臣遠戰力都不如2022年的高虹安，假設2人都投身選戰，勢必讓民進黨得利，但該如何整合？就考驗國民黨新任黨主席鄭麗文了。</font><a href=”https://lion19.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); 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