<p style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:medium;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;”> <span style=”text-align:justify”><span style=”font-size:18px”><span style=”font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif”><span style=”color:#222222″><span style=”background-color:#ffffff”>8月23日大罷免第二輪投票結束以後，國民黨就要著手進行黨主席選舉。等到國民黨選出新主席，2026年縣市長選舉就將開打，藍綠白三方將著手準備人力與財力。綜合2022年縣市長選舉、大罷免結果、藍綠白內部情況以及三方合縱連橫，分析一下2026年縣市長選舉的結果：藍白合能夠守住17席縣市長，藍綠白三大陣營最後決戰的地點是高雄與台南。藍白合只要拿下高雄與台南任何一席市長，賴清德就會陷入民進黨內部派系互鬥，等同於藍白合提前鎖定了2028勝局。</span></span></span></span></span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/f0ac1e56edc740d6be56f21a2b8e6da8~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755403282&x-signature=%2FvfHZU4v99DOmzPhxdfx796hRqg%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”822″ img_width=”1280″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/f0ac1e56edc740d6be56f21a2b8e6da8~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755403282&x-signature=%2FvfHZU4v99DOmzPhxdfx796hRqg%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e0a10dbb32744abfbfc19130704ed4ac” />
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<h1 data-track=”3″ style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:1.056em;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;line-height:1.579;position:relative;font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>2026年縣長選舉分析，藍白合穩17席，與民進黨決戰高雄、台南</span></h1>
<p data-track=”4″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>目前，民進黨擁有台南市、高雄市、屏東縣、澎湖縣與嘉義縣五席縣市長，民眾黨則擁有金門縣與新竹市兩席縣市長，其他15席縣市長都屬於國民黨陣營。從大罷免首輪結果來看，藍白合除了台灣南部以外，在其他縣市穩贏民進黨。</span></p>
<p data-track=”11″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>藍白合守住目前雙方執政的17個縣市不成問題，但關鍵在於如何進行分配。畢竟，民眾黨不會「無私無我」地配合國民黨，必須拿到2-3個縣市長席位，才能夠確保該黨繼續成長。而站在國民黨的角度，民眾黨擁有一定的實力才有藍白合的必要。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/199a3d46f88c4f3491a2f80f06777e19~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755403282&x-signature=exvRLAqWHEA1jur3vDlt3w12IlI%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”736″ img_width=”1230″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/199a3d46f88c4f3491a2f80f06777e19~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755403282&x-signature=exvRLAqWHEA1jur3vDlt3w12IlI%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/199a3d46f88c4f3491a2f80f06777e19″ />
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<p data-track=”5″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>因此，在藍白合能守住的15個縣市中，除了新竹市以外，國民黨大概率會將宜蘭縣與嘉義市禮讓民眾。而在金門縣，國民黨「立委」陳玉珍要與民眾黨籍縣長陳福海進行公平競爭。至於新北市，國民黨不會心甘情願讓黃國昌參選。</span></p>
<p data-track=”10″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>因此，國民黨推出的新北市長候選人與黃國昌必然要進行初選，推出藍白共同支持的候選人與民進黨競爭。否則以新北市的選民結構而言，藍白分裂必然會讓民進黨漁翁得利。</span></p>
<p data-track=”6″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>事實上，2026年縣市長選舉決戰之地在台南市、高雄市與屏東縣。 2022年縣市長選舉，民進黨遭遇了創黨以來最慘敗選，僅僅保住了5個縣市長席位，蔡英文為此辭去民進黨主席的職務。 2026年縣市長選舉對賴清德而言，只要守住了5個縣市長席位就不算輸。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/8af4c720b9364bedaa05fcd38af4e9d9~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755403282&x-signature=i%2B1whgHf%2FJ8%2B6giA0Cex%2BTroxbo%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”945″ img_width=”800″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/8af4c720b9364bedaa05fcd38af4e9d9~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755403282&x-signature=i%2B1whgHf%2FJ8%2B6giA0Cex%2BTroxbo%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/8af4c720b9364bedaa05fcd38af4e9d9″ />
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<p data-track=”8″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>如果輸掉了嘉義縣、屏東縣與澎湖縣等普通縣市，民進黨算小輸，賴清德道歉即可；但如果輸掉了台南市與高雄市其中之一，民進黨就算大輸，賴清德必須辭去民進黨主席的職務。</span></p>
<p data-track=”7″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>從藍白合聯手的角度，在高雄市與台南市的支持率低於民進黨5%-10%。但國民黨早於佈局，柯志恩與謝龍介在2022年敗選以後，繼續留在高雄與台南深耕。從民進黨的角度，非賴系的陳亭妃與林岱樺在台南與高雄，支持率都高於賴系的林俊憲與賴瑞隆。</span><a href=”https://lion19.com/” style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>台灣雄獅藥局官網</span></span></span></span></a> <a href=”https://lion19.com/” style=”text-align:left;”><span><span 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href=”https://lion19.com/product-category/outwoman/22″ style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>增慾按摩油</span></span></span></span></a> <a href=”https://lion19.com/product-category/man/1″ style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>增慾催情藥</span></span></span></span></a> <a href=”https://lion19.com/product-category/outman/11″ style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>口交潤滑液</span></span></span></span></a> <a href=”https://lion19.com/product-category/outman/8″ style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>印度神油液</span></span></span></span></a> <a href=”https://lion19.com/product-category/woman/13″ style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>催情藥</span></span></span></span></a> <a href=”https://lion19.com/product-category/man/5″ style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>保養增強藥</span></span></span></span></a> <a href=”https://lion19.com/product-category/outwoman/20″ style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>乳頭刺激液</span></span></span></span></a></p>
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<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/cde0dac156674888906ca781f1055da5~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755403282&x-signature=Gzwc3ri5h9sIgZBXlmrlUN85PPk%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”821″ img_width=”1242″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/cde0dac156674888906ca781f1055da5~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1755403282&x-signature=Gzwc3ri5h9sIgZBXlmrlUN85PPk%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/cde0dac156674888906ca781f1055da5″ />
<p style=”box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;margin-bottom:0px !important;”> </p>
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<p data-track=”9″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;margin-bottom:0px !important;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>以賴清德的性格，必然會強行支持林俊憲選台南市長、賴瑞隆選高雄市長，這就會造成綠營的內鬥。在民進黨內鬥的情況下，藍白聯手有可能扳平5%-10%的差距。因此，藍綠白在2026年縣市長選舉的決戰之地是台南、高雄。</span></p>
