<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <span style=”background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255); color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; text-align:justify”>根據台灣「中時新聞網」報道，美國總統川普宣布對半導體課徵100%關稅，確切的細節並未出爐，但赴美設廠可獲得豁免權，刺激台積電股價連續兩天創下歷史新高，衝上1185元（新台幣，下同）。然而美國財經媒體旗下經濟學家預估，半導體關稅將對台灣地區經濟造成重大打擊，並以模型推估，就算最終有高達75%的產品豁免，但重稅仍會打擊對美出口，甚至拖累GDP數字。</span></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>經濟學家推估，如果25%的台灣半導體被課徵100%關稅，台灣地區對美半導體出口將萎縮20%，並將整體出口減少12%，進而影響台灣地區生產毛額（GDP）約1%。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>經濟學家先以25%關稅且無豁免的狀況進行模擬，在此狀況下，未來五年對美半導體出口將減少50%，若再以100%關稅且無豁免進行估算，半導體出口將再下滑一半，等於出口減幅會高達75%。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>目前台灣地區輸美半導體接近零關稅，使台灣成為美國主要的半導體進口地，甚至多次被川普點名搶走美國半導體生意，在100%關稅威脅下，未來可預期台廠會掀起一波赴美潮。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>未來仍需觀察半導體關稅的細節，是否針對設廠規模或投資金額設下限制，但目前尚未決定赴美或美國沒有生產基地廠商，恐會面臨最劇烈的衝擊，同時大者恆大的趨勢會更明顯。</font></p>
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