823大罷免來襲，5大看點梳理，賴清德或辭職，盧秀燕表態藍營黨魁

<p style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:medium;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;”>&nbsp;<span style=”text-align:justify”><span style=”font-size:18px”><span style=”font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif”><span style=”color:#222222″><span style=”background-color:#ffffff”>就在8月23日，台灣島內正在舉行第二輪大罷免投票，涉及7名國民黨&ldquo;立委&rdquo;，分別是江啟臣、楊瓊櫻、顏寬恆、遊銖、馬文君、林思銘與羅明才。這次823大罷免的結果，將會直接影響藍綠兩大政黨的內部權力機構。以下，縱橫觀總結出五大看點為大家梳理一下！</span></span></span></span></span></p>

<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/ca97bca9ecc14cf0909be058f0a6b61e~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1756802191&amp;x-signature=EHDdekIufOxtKQWO%2FsKVaVuAiTg%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”1470″ img_width=”2048″ mime_type=”image/png” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/ca97bca9ecc14cf0909be058f0a6b61e~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1756802191&amp;x-signature=EHDdekIufOxtKQWO%2FsKVaVuAiTg%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/dc32a507fa7d421a9e0a790e4ade50c3″ />
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<p data-track=”2″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>第一個看點，823大罷免的整體投票率如何？</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>&nbsp;726大罷免中，整體投票率突破了56%，其中傅崐萁所在的選區更是突破了60%，接近了縣市長選舉的投票率。由此可見，726罷免投票帶動的仇恨值非常高。在726罷免結束以後，曹興誠選擇了退出，罷團失去了金源，整個氣勢跌到了谷底。因此，823大罷免整體投票率低到什麼程度，是值得關注的觀點。</span></p>

<p data-track=”12″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>第二個看點，7名國民黨「立委」反罷的優勢能有多大。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>如果不出意外，國民黨7名「立委」都能夠順利過關。其中，江啟臣、楊瓊櫻、羅明才、顏寬恆、馬文君、遊銖所在的選區都是藍大於綠，只有林思銘的選區是綠大於藍，但處於農業區，投票率很難保證。國民黨7位「立委」到底能夠以多大的優勢贏得反罷勝利，直接關係到接下來2026年縣市長選舉藍營的士氣。</span></p>

<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/4bb3518748564009aef5e25b3cc7d62d~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1756802191&amp;x-signature=fmJz5RkGml%2F057v2BC%2Bus8QesvA%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”1190″ img_width=”1785″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/4bb3518748564009aef5e25b3cc7d62d~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1756802191&amp;x-signature=fmJz5RkGml%2F057v2BC%2Bus8QesvA%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/4bb3518748564009aef5e25b3cc7d62d” />
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<p data-track=”11″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>第三個看點，江啟臣選區投票率、反罷優勢。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>江啟臣擔任過國民黨主席，連任了4屆&ldquo;立委&rdquo;，更是國民黨參選下屆台中市長的最熱門人選。韓國瑜、盧秀燕、侯友宜、朱立倫、張善政、蔣萬安等國民黨大咖，先後與江啟臣合體反罷。江啟臣能否以絕對優勢贏得反罷勝利，對於藍營具備指標性意義。對江啟臣而言，小贏就是輸，只有大贏才是贏。</span></p>

<p data-track=”10″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>第四個看點，盧秀燕是否會對國民黨主席選舉表態。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>不過823罷免投票結果如何，盧秀燕都要對是否參加國民黨主席選舉表態。畢竟，盧秀燕瞄準了2028年台灣地區領導人選舉，就應該承擔藍營的重擔。即使盧秀燕不參選國民黨主席，應該對下屆國民黨主席選舉的人選給予態度。當然，如果盧秀燕不選國民黨主席，2028誰代表藍營出戰還有很大的變數。</span></p>

<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/a40e8510a09b4582879aec463d09bb6a~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1756802191&amp;x-signature=5v09jnERNXbMJ%2Fh6rKtqg9GmkAA%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”2000″ img_width=”3426″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/a40e8510a09b4582879aec463d09bb6a~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1756802191&amp;x-signature=5v09jnERNXbMJ%2Fh6rKtqg9GmkAA%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/a40e8510a09b4582879aec463d09bb6a” />
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<p data-track=”8″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>第五個看點，賴清德是否辭去民進黨主席職務。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>賴清德在726罷免慘敗以後，曾下令民進黨全黨支持823精準罷免。因此，823罷免的慘敗，也意味著賴清德應該為此負責。當然，賴清德的個性非常固執，未必願意辭去民進黨主席的職務。但即使賴清德不辭職，其在民進黨內的影響力也必然遭到最大限度的削弱，失去了對2026年縣市長選舉綠營人選提名的掌控力。</span><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” 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<p data-track=”13″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;margin-bottom:0px !important;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>歡迎大家留言，你認為823反罷的結果會如何？國民黨大贏還是小贏？</span></p>