<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> </p>
<div class=”pgc-img” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px 0px 18px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-original-attrs=”{"data-src":"https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/62841020383d4c95b568f580a0235df9~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=tdgMrnBSA3qGIkhywvNM3%2F7us9Y%3D","image_type":"1","img_height":"1078","img_width":"1280","mime_type":"image/jpeg","style":"","web_uri":"tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/fc70b1749102471485d504fc7ce814bb"}” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/62841020383d4c95b568f580a0235df9~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=tdgMrnBSA3qGIkhywvNM3%2F7us9Y%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; border-radius: 4px; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: block; height: auto; margin: 0px auto 8px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px;” title=”" />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” data-original-attrs=”{"style":"margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px;"}” style=”border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px;”> </p>
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<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"1","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>這條所謂的中線，本質上源自於上世紀五十年代美國單方面劃定，旨在限制兩岸互動，維護其在亞太的戰略利益。中國從一開始就未予承認，因為台灣地區是中國領土不可分割的一部分，整個台海地區屬於中國內海範疇。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"2","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>歷史上，這條線並非基於國際法或兩岸協議，而是冷戰產物，類似外部勢力強加的分界，試圖將台灣地區與大陸人為隔離。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"3","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>回顧五十年代初，美國與台灣當局簽訂防禦條約時，便提出這條警戒線，名為“戴維斯線”，坐標從北緯27度東經123度延伸至北緯23度東經119度，全長約500公里。但中國政府從未在任何正式文件中接受它，視之為非法劃分。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-original-attrs=”{"data-src":"https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/2d5f8f8b526e4e4999c7ff82f4dd87cc~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=zrUkH3Y75e8XajX1G2lqHUCeYig%3D","image_type":"1","img_height":"664","img_width":"1080","mime_type":"image/png","style":"","web_uri":"tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/2d5f8f8b526e4e4999c7ff82f4dd87cc"}” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/2d5f8f8b526e4e4999c7ff82f4dd87cc~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=zrUkH3Y75e8XajX1G2lqHUCeYig%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; border-radius: 4px; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: block; height: auto; margin: 0px auto 8px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px;” title=”" />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” data-original-attrs=”{"style":"margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px;"}” style=”border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px;”> </p>
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<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"4","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>在實際操作中，這條線長期被台灣當局當作心理防線，用來製造所謂主權分隔。中國大陸則透過軍事和外交管道一再強調其不存在。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"5","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>2020年9月，中國外交部發言人明確指出，台灣地區是中國的一部分，不存在所謂中線。這是官方首次公開表態，標誌著對這一虛構概念的徹底否定。 2022年5月，國防部發言人再次回應台灣地區媒體炒作，台灣地區是中國的一部分，何來中線一說？</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"6","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>這些聲明並非突發，而是基於歷史法理：台灣地區自古隸屬中國，1949年後內戰遺留問題不應被外部勢力利用來永久分裂。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-original-attrs=”{"data-src":"https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e8592b94fb8442cbb4e5b2407361aeb9~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=bVn0QgM%2FDsPSelntaOXTjic7WH0%3D","image_type":"1","img_height":"800","img_width":"1200","mime_type":"image/png","style":"","web_uri":"tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e8592b94fb8442cbb4e5b2407361aeb9"}” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e8592b94fb8442cbb4e5b2407361aeb9~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=bVn0QgM%2FDsPSelntaOXTjic7WH0%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; border-radius: 4px; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: block; height: auto; margin: 0px auto 8px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px;” title=”" />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” data-original-attrs=”{"style":"margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px;"}” style=”border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px;”> </p>
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<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"7","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台專家的擔憂，源自於對大陸軍力增長的認知。他們認為，如果中線消失，台灣地區將失去所謂緩衝，面臨直接壓力。但這正好反映出台灣當局低估了大陸維護統一的實力。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"8","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>過去幾十年，中國空軍和海軍逐步增強巡航能力，早從1999年李登輝提出兩國論時，大陸軍機就開始接近甚至穿越這條想像線。當時，台灣地區空軍曾佔有製空優勢，但如今情勢逆轉。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"9","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>中國人民解放軍東部戰區常態化演訓，軍機數量從每月十餘架次增至數十架次，2022年8月佩洛西竄訪後，更是連續多日大規模演習，軍機逾越中線成為新常態。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img syl-img-loading” data-original-attrs=”{"data-src":"https://p26-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/eec0433e97b04abfb0eaf91ae1d8d71e~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=Rq%2FzKjAV6D1hJd%2FjUWxvxisI5WU%3D","image_type":"1","img_height":"750","img_width":"1200","mime_type":"image/png","style":"background: url(\"https://sf1-cdn-tos.toutiaostatic.com/obj/mp/syl-page/toutiaoicon_loading_textpage@3x.RQmcZRIc.png\") center center no-repeat;","web_uri":"tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/eec0433e97b04abfb0eaf91ae1d8d71e"}” src=”https://p26-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/eec0433e97b04abfb0eaf91ae1d8d71e~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=Rq%2FzKjAV6D1hJd%2FjUWxvxisI5WU%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: 50% 50%; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: initial; border-radius: 4px; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: block; height: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px 0px 422.483px; width: 1200px;” title=”" />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” data-original-attrs=”{"style":"margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px;"}” style=”border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px;”> </p>
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<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"10","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>這種變化得益於技術的進步，如殲-20等先進戰機投入使用，航程和隱身能力遠超以往，結合空中加油和衛星導航，實現了對台海空域的全面覆蓋。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"11","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>對比歷史，上世紀九十年代中線尚有默契，但那是大陸軍力相對有限時的情況。現在，中國海軍艦艇噸位從3000噸級升級到上萬噸級，遠超台當局海巡裝備。 2023年，海警船在金門週邊常態執法，登檢次數從初期零星增至每月數十次，這不僅是對漁船事件的回應，更是確立實際管控的步驟。</font><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt”>日本藤素</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt; text-align:left”> </span><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt”>美國黑金</span></a><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt”>威而鋼</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt; text-align:left”> </span><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt”>印度威而鋼</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt; 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<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"12","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>歐洲智庫如托馬斯摩爾研究中心分析稱，中國透過金門行動測試對台灣地區的控制，作為處理問題的初步舉措。這種推進並非激進，而是漸進式：從海警巡航到軍艦環島，從空域穿越到航線優化，如M503航路的啟用，逐步壓縮台當局所謂的預警空間。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-original-attrs=”{"data-src":"https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/5482b60e933748f0af652aa8cc8d08fa~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=T1NZcVu%2BQ%2Br1DciRIrqi7riiQjQ%3D","image_type":"1","img_height":"818","img_width":"1200","mime_type":"image/png","style":"","web_uri":"tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/5482b60e933748f0af652aa8cc8d08fa"}” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/5482b60e933748f0af652aa8cc8d08fa~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=T1NZcVu%2BQ%2Br1DciRIrqi7riiQjQ%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; border-radius: 4px; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: block; height: auto; margin: 0px auto 8px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px;” title=”" />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” data-original-attrs=”{"style":"margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px;"}” style=”border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px;”> </p>
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<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"13","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台專家宣稱結局危險，實際上是忽略了中國對台海穩定的貢獻。中國軍演針對的是「台獨」分裂和外部干涉，而非無端挑釁。 2024年2月國防部例行記者會重申，解放軍演訓是維護主權正當之舉，根本不存在中線。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"14","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台當局防務部門負責人邱國正的言論，強調中線缺失將無緩衝，但中國回應，海峽中線從未存在，因為台海是中國內海。國際法上，台灣海峽包括領海和專屬經濟區，中國對專屬經濟區享有管轄權，航行自由適用於公海，但不等於承認分界線。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"15","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>漢堡大學國際海洋法教授指出，沿岸國家對專屬經濟區不擁有主權，支持中國立場：台海不是國際水域，而是中國內部事務。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-original-attrs=”{"data-src":"https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/83d91dcf9d144b6cb9cdf4b5d2ab711c~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=Kvpb4U8AYAZwnWcLbt3EjRBUNqc%3D","image_type":"1","img_height":"788","img_width":"960","mime_type":"image/png","style":"","web_uri":"tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/83d91dcf9d144b6cb9cdf4b5d2ab711c"}” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/83d91dcf9d144b6cb9cdf4b5d2ab711c~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=Kvpb4U8AYAZwnWcLbt3EjRBUNqc%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; border-radius: 4px; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: block; height: auto; margin: 0px auto 8px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px;” title=”" />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” data-original-attrs=”{"style":"margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px;"}” style=”border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px;”> </p>
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<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"16","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>這一觀點揭露了台灣當局的戰略誤判。他們試圖用中線作為底線，但忽略了大陸軍力發展的必然性。過去，台當局依賴飛彈巡邏艦威懾，但如今大陸海警噸位優勢突出，巡邏範圍從金門擴展到普拉塔斯島。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"17","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>2025年4月的「海峽雷霆」演習，涉及陸海空軍協同，規模較2024年擴大一倍，持續時間延長，展示了多域融合能力。火箭軍參與精確打擊，技術從單一軍種演進到聯合指揮，這與以往零散巡航不同，推動了實際控制的深化。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"18","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>如果中線被視為不存在，台當局的所謂縱深將縮短，但對中國而言，這是統一進程的自然延伸。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-original-attrs=”{"data-src":"https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/db0d7ebae2e34e49960e93c880672a7d~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=tkKzWFp16O1X70IH%2BZlGeHvsT0M%3D","image_type":"1","img_height":"735","img_width":"1200","mime_type":"image/png","style":"","web_uri":"tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/db0d7ebae2e34e49960e93c880672a7d"}” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/db0d7ebae2e34e49960e93c880672a7d~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=tkKzWFp16O1X70IH%2BZlGeHvsT0M%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; border-radius: 4px; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: block; height: auto; margin: 0px auto 8px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px;” title=”" />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” data-original-attrs=”{"style":"margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px;"}” style=”border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px;”> </p>
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<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"19","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台專家的緩衝論，源自於對大陸決心的低估。中國透過談判和執法，多次推動兩岸對話，但台當局的拖延導致了對立加劇。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"20","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>2024年7月兩岸磋商雖達成部分協議，如遺體返還，但台當局拒絕責任追究，談判停滯。中國國台辦強調，不會容忍粗暴行為，強化了執法常態。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"21","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>2025年中期，中國海警進入金門水域達數十次，頻率翻倍，反映了政策的連續性。英國軍艦通過海峽時，中國外交部回應，海峽是中國內海，外方無權干涉，這維護了主權完整。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-original-attrs=”{"data-src":"https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/abba5328864d48079533653964dc438a~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=ct72zjBEeesA0jdkLsbf1YHrC4g%3D","image_type":"1","img_height":"601","img_width":"1080","mime_type":"image/png","style":"","web_uri":"tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/abba5328864d48079533653964dc438a"}” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/abba5328864d48079533653964dc438a~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1756710861&x-signature=ct72zjBEeesA0jdkLsbf1YHrC4g%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; border-radius: 4px; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: block; height: auto; margin: 0px auto 8px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px;” title=”" />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” data-original-attrs=”{"style":"margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px;"}” style=”border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px;”> </p>
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<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"22","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>忽視中線是中國實力的體現。解放軍戰機接近台北空域次數增加，透過引擎升級和隱身技術更新，航程延伸一倍以上。台當局否認動態，但事實無法掩蓋。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"23","style":""}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>與過去對比，這種不同在於從被動回應到主動維護，艦艇現代化實現了更新換代。歐洲智庫觀點認為，金門是實驗，推動實際控制，與中國權益守護一致。</font></p>
<p data-original-attrs=”{"data-track":"24","style":"margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px;"}” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; background-color: white; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 20px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;”><font data-keep-original-tag=”false” data-original-attrs=”{"style":""}” dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>或許，透過這些事實，我們能更好地理解，主權完整不是空談，而是透過行動實現的。</font></p>
