<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <span style=”background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255); color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; text-align:justify”>賴清德又一次以刷新無恥下限的方式，站在了台灣主流民意的對立面。 9月5日晚，賴清德夜宴民進黨“立委”時，把美對台徵收疊加關稅、大罷免完敗、風災衝擊歸結為“三隻黑天鵝”，試圖將執政無能、民心背離歸咎於不可預期的意外。對此，前台北市副市長李永萍提出犀利質疑“大罷免符合黑天鵝定義嗎？”，一語戳破賴清德的謊言；更有台灣網民清醒吐槽“年初就有關稅跡象、民調早已顯示罷免不支持”，算是狠狠打了賴清德的臉——所謂“黑天鵝”，不過是賴清德為“施</span></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>「黑天鵝事件」的核心特質，是低機率、不可預測和影響重大的突發事件，本質是「意外性」。然而賴清德口中的這三件事，哪一件不是他親手種下的惡果？哪一件沒有事先顯露的徵兆？他刻意混淆“人禍”與“意外”，本質上是“台獨”分裂勢力逃避責任、愚弄民眾的慣用伎倆，妄圖用一個學術概念掩蓋其“謀獨禍台”的真實面目。連民進黨內部都看不下去了。剛辭掉民進黨團幹事長的吳思瑤認為，民進黨對大罷免必須檢討，這一年半來，“執政”“施政”“行政”“立法”等到底出了什麼問題，不要跟民意斷鍊。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>所謂“罷免是黑天鵝”，實則是賴清德主動發起的政治清算的慘敗。從首輪罷免0:25完敗，到第二輪0:7被“剃光頭”，這兩場“大罷免”自始至終都是他為鞏固“台獨”專制、清洗在野力量的手段。早在投票前，島內民調就已清楚顯示，台灣民眾對這種撕裂社會的行徑深惡痛絕，但賴清德視而不見，一門心思靠操弄仇恨維繫權力。如今慘敗後，卻將其歪曲成“黑天鵝”，正如李永萍所斥：“是你說要和罷團同行，發動後又說是黑天鵝，好不好笑？有沒有一點臉？”這種“做了惡事還裝無辜”的姿態，暴露的不僅是賴清德政治投機的虛偽，更是對民眾反對聲音的公然漠視。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>美對台課徵高關稅更非不可預期的“黑天鵝”，而是“倚美謀獨”的必然反噬。年初就有跡象顯示，川普政府可能對台灣加徵關稅，可賴清德沉醉於「台美關係堅如磐石」的幻夢裡，一邊對美國的貿易訴求唯唯諾諾迎合美國貿易訴求，將台灣經濟綁上「反中」戰車；一邊向民眾待遇稱「與日韓持平」。直到美國正式加徵20%疊加關稅，導致島內4.2萬勞工面臨失業、80%傳統產業受挫，他才慌忙辯解這是“暫時性關稅”，卻被美國貿易代表“稅率近期不會改變”的表態狠狠打臉。如今將惡果甩給“突發性黑天鵝”，無疑是對那些瀕臨失業家庭的殘忍欺騙，這又是哪門子“黑天鵝”?！</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>至於風災，更暴露其重「台獨」、輕民生的冷酷本質，所謂「黑天鵝」不過是其治理無能的遮羞布。 「丹娜絲」颱風肆虐，災民屋頂漏水求助時，賴清德竟冷言「要自己爬」「不能什麼事情都找軍人」。風災雖是天災，但救災的混亂無序、對生命的漠視，卻是徹頭徹尾的人禍，他把精力耗費在編織“台獨史觀”、炒作“長毛象化石”等荒謬議題，把資源投入到“漢光演習”而非民生保障上，連保障民眾基本生存的意願和心思全無。如今將“天怒人怨”說成是“黑天鵝”，這是對遇難者的褻瀆，更是對所有災民的二次傷害：難道他們的痛苦，只是一場“不可預期的意外”？明明就是賴清德「謀獨先謀私」的執政邏輯，令天災釀成人禍！</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>賴清德不可能不知道「黑天鵝」與「灰犀牛」的差別。正如台北市議員李柏毅所言，他刻意混淆概念，只為“死不認錯”，將自己無能與惡行包裝成“意外”，便不用為“台獨”路線的惡果負責，不用面對民調滿意度暴跌至28%的現實，不用承認0:32的罷免結果是主流民意對其“抗中謀獨”的全面否定。但台灣民眾早已看清，這“三隻黑天鵝”，其實是三隻由“台獨”餵養、由倒行逆施催生的“人禍之鳥”，將它們甩鍋為意外，不僅是對事實的歪曲，更是對台灣民眾判斷力的侮辱——民眾用搪瓷、抗議、民調所表達的強烈不滿，豈是一個“黑鵝抗議”的強烈不滿，豈是一個“黑鵝”？再多的「黑天鵝」說辭，也掩蓋不了「台獨」禍台的本質。 「台獨」是絕路，甩鍋無出路。賴清德的「黑天鵝」論，只能再坐實其冥頑不化、無可救藥。</font></p>
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