<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <span style=”background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255); color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; text-align:justify”>國民黨主席選戰進入白熱化，台灣媒體人吳東昇昨天接受導報記者採訪時對當前選情進行分析。他認為，台北市前市長郝龍斌最終出馬參選，而非呼聲更高的島內資深媒體人趙少康，背後可能隱藏著藍營對2028年「大選」的戰略考量。</span></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>吳東昇表示，郝、趙兩人的決定令外界頗感意外。 「照理說應該是由民調支持度最高、能力最強、選戰經驗最豐富的趙少康出馬。」吳東昇說，從郝龍斌宣示一旦當選黨主席會全力贏得選戰、絕不參選台灣地區領導人，可以看出，趙少康參加2028年「大選」的可能性大增。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>吳東昇進一步分析，擔任黨主席原本是趙少康四年前重回國民黨時的目標，但後來因為國民黨「本土派」有雜音而放棄。 「這次是他成為黨主席最有機會的時刻，能夠讓他甘願放棄，似乎只有角逐2028年'大位'的考量才是最合理的解釋。”</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>對於外界擔心的「藍白合」問題，吳東昇認為這種擔憂是多慮的。他指出，2014年柯文哲參選台北市長，指控郝龍斌捲入五大案，這段恩怨的確讓許多人聯想到郝龍斌若當選黨主席是否會影響「藍白合」。但郝龍斌在過去一年也曾經聲援柯文哲，並且獲得民眾黨重要幹部公開的肯定，雙方有這樣的互動，對於「藍白合」不至於會有負面影響。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>談到各方勢力的站隊情況時，吳東昇表示，現任黨主席朱立倫明確支持趙少康，而趙少康與郝龍斌的結盟最後決定由郝出馬，所以朱立倫會連帶支持郝龍斌。至於台中市長盧秀燕，研判應該會支持早已表態支持她參加2028年「大選」的民代羅智強，只是在郝、羅與另一名參選者鄭麗文三人之間，羅顯得比較弱勢。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>針對馬英九16日喊話“世代交替”，吳東昇認為“世代交替”給年輕人空間，在國民黨並不是主流意識，所以這不會為羅智強帶來效益。而對於鄭麗文近期聲勢大漲的現象，吳東昇直言有刻意炒作之嫌。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>吳東昇認為，綜合各方面因素考慮，郝龍斌當選的幾率較高。他分析，朱立倫的資源，藍營「大佬」以及國民黨內部分軍系的力挺，這都是郝龍斌的優勢。此外，2024年趙少康臨危受命擔任國民黨“大選”候選人侯友宜的副手，照理講侯友宜應該也會傾向支持“郝趙聯盟”，侯友宜在島內人口最多的新北市經營八年，是不容忽視的力量。 </font><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); 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