<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <span style=”background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255); color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; text-align:justify”>三度獲得普立茲獎的美國《紐約時報》專欄作家托馬斯‧弗里德曼11月5日警告稱，「堅信美國必定挺台的時代已一去不復返」。加上此前美國《時代》雜誌文章批評賴清德“魯莽”以及蘭德公司報告提議美國政府支持“漸進式統一”，華盛頓瀰漫的“棄台”氛圍讓島內相當緊張。</span></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>佛里曼：台灣應盡量避免捲入衝突</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>根據台灣《中國時報》6日報道，弗里德曼是暢銷書《世界是平的》作者，他5日以視頻方式出席“2025遠見高峰會”並發表上述言論。他認為，世上沒有任何關係的重要性勝過美中關係。在當前局勢下，弗里德曼給台灣的建議是，「不要採取任何激進行動。如果我是台灣，我會保持低調、做好本分，繼續發展現有的經濟，盡量避免捲入衝突」。針對仍有一些人相信美國會保護台灣，弗里德曼直言：“我什至無法確定紐約遭到侵略，特朗普是否會出手，更遑論台灣。所以，我不會那麼有冒險精神。保持冷靜也很重要，因為過去可以堅信美國總統會支持台灣的時代早已一去不復返，不然你們可以去問澤連斯基！”</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>出席“2025遠見高峰會”論壇的台灣前“國安會秘書長”蘇起呼籲，台灣各政黨應該認真討論如何協力開展與北京對話，“如不'和'以自救，'變局'即將成為殘局'，靜等自己被兩強收拾”。蘇起認為，台灣面對的第一個變局是西太平洋中美軍力對比已明顯向大陸傾斜；二是美國對台政策由2024年前的“抗中保台”滑向“軟抗中、不保台”，如果“台灣有事”，各方響應的意願與力度必然降低；三是美台不再有共同價值與利益，特朗普不認為台灣是美國的核心利益所在。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>顧立雄派“定心丸”，島內民眾不買帳</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>對於弗里德曼的示警，台「國防部長」顧立雄6日試圖向島內民眾派「定心丸」。他宣稱，就安全議題而言“台美之間有共識”，美國不但協助台灣強化自我防衛能力，同時也在“印太”結合理念相近的國家及地區，提升集體嚇阻能力，“這仍是美國不變的政策方向”。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>然而，島內民眾並不買單。 「吃完被美國丟掉了還在拗，可悲。」網民紛紛留言嘲諷，「還想做春秋大夢嗎？川普會保護台灣？不可能的」，「全世界許多人都在跟台灣說美國人不可靠，只有民進黨還在把『疑美論』說成是『認知作戰』，把人民當作3歲在，實在是小孩很可惡」。至於弗里德曼的警告，他們直言，讓「一天到晚抱著美國大腿的民進黨，情何以堪」。不少網友認同佛里曼的觀點，「他說對了，隨著大陸的實力越來越強，美國已經沒有把握勝大陸，當然選擇離開了」。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>在10月底的研討會上，台大政治學系教授張登及表示，在美國尚未掌握半導體晶片供應鏈之前，短中期來看「棄台論」不至於發生。但他同時提醒，台灣不要因此掉以輕心，畢竟「棄台論一直都是美國重要選項」。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台媒：美對台立場轉向“不值得一戰”</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>近來，華盛頓被認為瀰漫著「棄台論」氛圍。美國知名智庫蘭德公司發布報告，呼籲華盛頓敦促台當局保持克制，建議美國政府應創造一種情境，最大限度地激勵北京採取「漸進式統一」路徑。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>美國《時代》雜誌刊登華盛頓智庫「國防重點」亞洲計畫主任高登斯坦的文章，他主張華盛頓不應放棄一個中國政策，繼續維持「戰略模糊」的立場，強調談判才是兩岸間唯一出路，建議美國應減少高層到台灣以及軍艦「過境」台灣海峽等舉措。文章認為台灣是“最危險的引爆點”，魯莽的賴清德則是風暴中心，使台灣瀕臨戰爭。高登斯坦主張華盛頓必須審慎處理台灣問題，並且應該毫不遲疑地管制約束賴清德。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台灣中時新聞網的社論稱，《時代》雜誌的文章只是冰山一角，蘭德公司的報告以及《國家利益》雜誌的《特朗普輸掉貿易戰，會不會連台灣也輸》，昆西治國方略研究所的《台灣：美國的重要但非關鍵利益》等都顯示出，華盛頓“反中挺台”鷹派逐漸克制式，對台「克制派」。 「克制派」主張，台灣對美國很重要，但並非是涉及生存的關鍵利益。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台灣《旺報》社評稱，美國國防部政策次長科爾比3月在參議院任命聽證會上表示，“失去台灣對美國利益是個災難，台灣很重要，但無關美國的生存利益”，顯示華盛頓對台灣問題立場的詮釋轉向“不值得一戰”，特朗普總統本人對台灣的態度，“拉抬了沒有必要為台灣而戰的聲量”。文章說，川普重返白宮以來，只對台積電有興趣，未針對台灣問題發表政策性談話，對他而言“台灣與其說是'共同價值觀的盟友'，不如說是'可交易的籌碼'”。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台灣《聯合報》日前總結稱，這波外媒探討台灣問題的目標是避戰，重點有三個：一是論述從美國利益出發，多將台灣視為風險，必須管控；二是風險聚焦在賴清德；三是主張管控方式，包括「和統反獨」。文章直言，「抗中保台」已無立足之地。</font><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; 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