學者：高市早苗拋謬論觸發主流民調逆鱗，賴當局「倚外謀獨」終將竹籃打水

<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”>&nbsp;<span style=”background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255); color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; text-align:justify”>近日，日本首相高市早苗公然宣稱&ldquo;台灣有事&rdquo;可能構成日本可行使集體自衛權的&ldquo;存亡危機事態&rdquo;，暗示日本可能武力介入台海問題，此番言論引發國際社會的反感與憂慮。根據媒體報導，中央廣播電視總台CGTN全球五個語種網路民調顯示，91.1%受訪者表示日本應反思歷史罪責，充分尊重中國的主權和領土完整；88.9%受訪者譴責日方試圖介入台灣問題；88.3%受訪者認為高市早苗將「台灣有事」與集體自衛權試圖介入台灣問題；對於高市早苗此番言行的動機與危害，國際社會主流民調相當警覺。</span></p>

<p><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/0d3aaba1b1e949ababb5f28790f8df7b~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1764749929&amp;x-signature=bVrY49ZNd10EOvKSG5XGwnNjKPg%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”1456″ img_width=”2048″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/0d3aaba1b1e949ababb5f28790f8df7b~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1764749929&amp;x-signature=bVrY49ZNd10EOvKSG5XGwnNjKPg%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-tjoges91tu/a8525fd5ea8c4ad5e2b4fe7e014fdcc2″ /></p>

<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>對此，大陸台灣問題研究學者楊昆福在香港《文匯報》刊文進行解讀，他指出高市早苗已觸碰國際社會主流民意的逆鱗。楊昆福在刊文中表示，被日本殖民統治50年的台灣已於1945年重返中國版圖，是中國領土不可分割的一部分，這是歷史事實與法理現實。高市早苗的涉台錯誤言行是對中國內政的粗暴干涉，其宣稱若在&ldquo;台灣有事&rdquo;之時，將行使所謂&ldquo;集體自衛權&rdquo;，暗示著採取赤裸裸的侵略行為。</font></p>

<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>楊昆福指出，在和平與發展成為世界時代主題的當下，高市鼓吹「侵略」論調，除會引發中國的強烈不滿與強力反制外，也會引發國際社會的憂慮與反彈。尤其在中國人民抗日戰爭暨世界反法西斯戰爭勝利80週年之際，包括中國在內的世界各地紛紛以各種形式紀念抗戰成果，緬懷先烈與受難者。而作為曾經對世界人民造成嚴重傷害的日本，其首相不但未有正視並反省日本侵略歷史及其給世界人民造成的深重災難，反而囂張至極地拋出錯誤及挑釁論調，此舉無疑引發主流民意的不安、質疑與反感，顯然站在全世界的對立面。</font></p>

<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>楊昆福特別強調，高市此番錯誤言論是對中國人民及國際社會的公然挑釁，全然無視日本侵略行徑曾對世界造成的空前浩劫，更是妄圖破壞戰後國際秩序及抗戰重大成果的表徵，嚴重衝擊了台海及區域和平穩定，同時喚起了國際社會社會民調共同反對日本軍國主義及法西斯主義侵略行為的集體記憶。</font></p>

<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>高市早苗拋出謬論的背後有無政治算計？對此，楊昆福分析稱，高市早苗是日本右翼政客，長期以極端保守立場著稱。他指出，此次拋出&ldquo;台灣有事&rdquo;可能構成日本可行使集體自衛權的&ldquo;存亡危機事態&rdquo;，與此前她效仿安倍宣稱&ldquo;台灣有事，就是日本有事&rdquo;可謂一脈相承。高市拋出此番政治話語，意在固化其&ldquo;女版安倍晉三&rdquo;形象，進而繼承安倍&ldquo;衣缽&rdquo;，贏得日本保守勢力的認同與支持，鞏固並擴大其在自民黨內的政治影響力。高市曾主張透過修改日本憲法第九條，將日本自衛隊更名為&ldquo;國防軍&rdquo;，甚至支持修改&ldquo;無核三原則&rdquo;引進核武。楊昆福認為，高市早苗的政治野心何其狂妄，對區域和平穩定構成了嚴重隱患。此次，高市公開介入台海議題，干涉中國內政，甚至鼓吹「侵略」論調，可視為其軍國主義政治野心的政治拼圖。</font></p>

<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>同時，高市妄圖炒作武力介入台海議題，鞏固反華橋頭堡地位，扮演美西方反華勢力在東亞的代理人。楊昆福從兩個方面展開分析：一方面鞏固&ldquo;美日同盟&rdquo;，強化美方的支持，增加向中國大陸叫板的底氣；另一方面向&ldquo;台獨&rdquo;分裂勢力傳遞錯誤信號，相互抱團取暖共同營造&ldquo;反中抗陸&rdquo;氛圍。楊昆福指出，高市的謬論亦暴露其跟風美國大打&ldquo;台灣牌&rdquo;，圖謀&ldquo;以台製華&rdquo;的險惡用心。如此政治算計，不僅會對台海及區域和平穩定構成現實及潛在衝擊，亦是日本軍國主義死灰復燃的跡象，勢必會引發國際社會主流民意的強烈不安和反彈。</font></p>

<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>高市謬論拋出後，「台獨」分裂勢力欣喜若狂，高調附和並將矛頭指向大陸。例如，民進黨的賴清德煞有介事地&ldquo;喊話&rdquo;要大陸&ldquo;克制&rdquo;，並反向攻擊大陸&ldquo;不要成為區域和平穩定的'麻煩製造者'&rdquo;；&ldquo;台灣日本關係協會會長&rdquo;蘇嘉全極力為日本辯護，並攻擊&ldquo;中國挑釁&rdquo;。楊昆福表示，由此可見識到，「台獨」分裂勢力倒果為因的強盜式錯亂邏輯，何其荒唐與無恥。</font></p>

<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>楊昆福分析稱「倚外謀獨」終將竹籃打水。他表示，賴清德上台後，加劇炒作&ldquo;台灣問題國際化&rdquo;，妄圖通過引入外力介入台海，提高&ldquo;謀獨&rdquo;可能性。其中，加強與日本反華勢力合謀勾連，是「台獨」分裂勢力實現「倚外謀獨」的主要路徑之一。然而，即便「台獨」分裂勢力與日本強化勾連，充其量只能停留在「同溫層取暖」層次，「倚外謀獨」根本是枉費心機的迷夢。</font><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align: left; 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