<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <span style=”background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255); color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; text-align:justify”>台媒「美麗島電子報」28日公佈最新民調，台灣地區領導人賴清德的施政滿意度僅剩31％，不滿意度飆升至60.5％。該報董事長吳子嘉29日認為，不排除出現「高雄、台南翻盤」的戲劇性情況。島上資深媒體人董智森分析目前綠營的高雄市長選舉戰況，並點名民進黨民代林岱樺「大概就出局了」。</span></p>
<p><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/c8fb7c4bd1924a4da96ae1b3462043f8~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1757319762&x-signature=X2rBnGMXbl%2BNNyTpm6JkI3v4lqQ%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”768″ img_width=”1024″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/c8fb7c4bd1924a4da96ae1b3462043f8~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1757319762&x-signature=X2rBnGMXbl%2BNNyTpm6JkI3v4lqQ%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-tjoges91tu/68159e2bb22a16bbb8d005f984c727f6″ /></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>針對相關民調，吳子嘉29日在其主持的網絡節目中直言“完蛋了”，因為高屏地區的選民結構正出現驚人鬆動，民進黨在南部的優勢地位恐面臨挑戰。而在節目中有網友提問，2026年國民黨民代柯志恩、蘇清泉是不是機會很大？吳子嘉坦言，若台灣南部選民對民進黨的不信任度持續居高不下，確實可能為國民黨候選人帶來前所未有的機會，不排除出現「高雄、台南翻盤」的戲劇性情況。而如果台灣南部翻盤，「屏東也完蛋了」。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>董智森31日在台媒節目表示，目前高雄市長陳其邁支持民進黨民代邱議瑩，賴清德、「新潮流」則鎖定民進黨民代賴瑞隆，「現在邱議瑩最主要的對手是賴瑞隆」。至於陷入助理費案風暴、被爆出和住持有曖昧對話的林岱樺，則是「大概就出局了」。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>節目主持人李珮瑄詢問，林岱樺有可能脫離民進黨參選嗎？董智森直言，雖然有不少「脫黨會拿多少票」的分析，但如果真的這麼做，林岱樺就沒有影響力了。因為民進黨就是這樣、只要脫黨就會喪失影響力。自己過去跑新聞時，碰過太多類似的案例。如已故民進黨前主席施明德，就曾脫黨參選結果落選。</font><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); 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