<p style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:medium;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;”> <span style=”text-align:justify”><span style=”font-size:18px”><span style=”font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif”><span style=”color:#222222″><span style=”background-color:#ffffff”>國民黨選舉下個月舉行，陸陸續續有人表態參選黨主席，但一個人的到來打破了勢均力敵的場面，連趙少康也甘願當他的陪襯。</span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>9月9日，國民黨前副主席、台北市前市長郝龍斌首次表態有意參選國民黨主席，稱「有參選意願和準備」。截至目前，除開郝龍斌，已有九人表態參選，包括張亞中、羅志強、鄭麗文、謝典林等人。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/cb402d10b74d42dea755eb02f5055339~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758095745&x-signature=DkgE8aDnTamnZLU%2BH8KXUgTuvps%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”589″ img_width=”892″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/cb402d10b74d42dea755eb02f5055339~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758095745&x-signature=DkgE8aDnTamnZLU%2BH8KXUgTuvps%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/6044e6d68b07403eab03d235fbf0b62d” />
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<p style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>在郝龍斌透露參選意願之前，原本盧秀燕呼聲最高，但她已經決定不參選，國民黨內人士解讀稱，那九個人實力尚不足以承擔大任，預計馬上有重量級人馬宣佈出戰，其中就有郝龍斌，如今塵埃落定，郝龍斌宣布這個變數提前出現，這場選舉或塵埃結束。趙少康日前已經強調過，如果盧秀燕、朱立倫、郝龍斌都不選，他就會參選，但如果郝龍斌參選，他一定全力支持。趙少康都甘願退出協助郝龍斌，他的勝算可想而知。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/094c947e119f4f20aeb34b85ffe7e234~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758095745&x-signature=jNkTBAR5c%2B7B1m1XK1xNrjUrSyM%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”576″ img_width=”1024″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/094c947e119f4f20aeb34b85ffe7e234~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758095745&x-signature=jNkTBAR5c%2B7B1m1XK1xNrjUrSyM%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/094c947e119f4f20aeb34b85ffe7e234″ />
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<p style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>對兩岸關係而言，郝龍斌如果能當選國民黨主席，也不失為好事。在表達參選意願的同時，他第一時間就兩岸關係表態，稱“台灣人也是中國人”，民進黨所謂的“抗中保台”只是一場騙局。不得不承認，這兩句話還是很中聽的。談到兩岸之間如何相處時，他也強調「國民黨有很好的對話基礎」。對美日，他同樣表現得很強硬，表示「絕不跪美」、「絕不媚日」是他的原則。</span></p>
<p style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>顯然，郝龍斌對兩岸和平是有好處的，然而政治選舉情勢是多變的，他還不能算是提前鎖定勝局。影響當前選情的關鍵因素有很多，包括「挺朱」與「反朱」兩派勢力的較量、軍係與地方派系票倉的爭奪、黨內大佬和主要地方派系之間的協調，特別是2026年和2028年地方選舉，國民黨必須考慮誰有能力帶領國民黨中贏得2026年地方選舉以及2028年地方選舉以及美國全國領導人的領導地位。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/2f486ea369994582a4b846d6cff489a4~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758095745&x-signature=QhuVFung%2By%2F9xo69ZYgxBeZf2f8%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”771″ img_width=”1200″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/2f486ea369994582a4b846d6cff489a4~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758095745&x-signature=QhuVFung%2By%2F9xo69ZYgxBeZf2f8%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/2f486ea369994582a4b846d6cff489a4″ />
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<p style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>郝龍斌的優點在於他個人政治經驗豐富，擔任過兩屆台北市長和國民黨副主席；且其立場中立，國民黨內各派係都比較能接受；同時，他的軍系背景和地方人脈也有助於他爭取關鍵票倉；和趙少康之間協調一致，還能避免「戰鬥藍」內部分裂。更重要的是，他強烈主張“藍白合”，並明確將其作為首要任務的選舉策略，這些都契合了國民黨當前希望整合在野力量、重返執政的核心目標。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/6fb352939d6b4df484600c992a2ca3bd~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758095745&x-signature=3tzYAN4iI%2Fi4zTGVUxmxxPGI5uI%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”882″ img_width=”1280″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/6fb352939d6b4df484600c992a2ca3bd~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1758095745&x-signature=3tzYAN4iI%2Fi4zTGVUxmxxPGI5uI%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/6fb352939d6b4df484600c992a2ca3bd” />
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<p style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>可以看到，郝龍斌對自己的定位是“輔助”，是“造王者”，他強調“無私”，這一核心定位為他爭取主席之位增添了不少好感度，但選舉變數仍多，郝龍斌最終能否勝出，取決於他能否將這些優勢轉化為實實在在的選票，並成功應對內部整合與外部合作的多重挑戰，也取決於他能否平衡黨內不同世代的需求，避免被貼上“傳統政治人物”標籤，能否真正彌合黨內“親朱”與“反朱”等分歧。</span><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align:left;”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>日本藤素</span></span></span></span></a> <a 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<p style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:medium;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;”> </p>
<p style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;margin-bottom:0px !important;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>於大陸而言，需要關注的點只有一個，就是郝龍斌的兩岸立場。他雖贊同兩岸都是中國人，但相較於張亞中這種明確支持統一的人，他的兩岸論述仍顯得模糊，說不准他會是第二個朱立倫，所以國民黨這場熱鬧還得慢慢看。</span></p>
