<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; font-weight:700; margin:0px; padding:0px; text-align:justify”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>海峽導報綜合報道</font></strong><font dir=”auto” style=”color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>民進黨台南市長初選，戰火持續升溫。日前，民進黨民代林俊憲推出一系列所謂「銀髮族」福利；民代陳亭妃卻稱，自己早在8年前，就已經提出屬於台南的「政策小冊子」。對此，媒體人吳子嘉表示，颱風風災對民進黨民調影響最大，民進黨高雄、台南目前的情況都不好，對2026年選情不利，議員席次恐會減少。</font></p>
<p><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/9c27c81a4119438f9b3c99fd011d1fa8~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1760258541&x-signature=zyx4GZWxyKuLKI5iYY9CXA3xlEw%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”528″ img_width=”800″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/9c27c81a4119438f9b3c99fd011d1fa8~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1760258541&x-signature=zyx4GZWxyKuLKI5iYY9CXA3xlEw%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-tjoges91tu/55d145eae0bcb12512f0dc849dfc2035″ /></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>吳子嘉2日表示，根據台媒「美麗島電子報」公佈的9月政策民調，民進黨的負面評價52.1%，也就是100人就有52人討厭民進黨，而且這個現像在台灣南部的情況更嚴重，譬如：台南、高雄、屏東。他覺得颱風風災影響最大，因為颱風已經結束有一段時間了。但在颱風風災的時候，民進黨之流卻在搞大罷免，沒有人去處理颱風風災，事情拖了1、2個月都沒人處理，所以高雄、台南的情況都不好，當然對2026年選情不利。但是在縣市長選舉翻盤的困難度比較高，對此他比較保留，可是民調不好，民進黨議員的席位會減少。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>針對台南市長選舉，吳子嘉進一步指出，目前陳亭妃領先，但是民調調查單位有機構效應，所以陳亭妃的民調領先林俊憲，但是沒有那麼多。台南在民進黨是個敏感區域，陳亭妃要通過初選這一關．而林俊憲民調被拉下來的理由，主要原因是賴清德的民調，林俊憲本身可能輸陳亭妃，但是不至於輸那麼多，輸那麼多的理由，是因為他是賴清德的愛將，因此被賴清德拖垮了。</font></p>
<p style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>吳子嘉表示，台南選戰不是陳亭妃跟林俊憲在打，根本就是賴清德跟陳亭妃兩個人對打。若賴清德輸掉台南市，民進黨主席這個職位將會很難做，所以賴清德面對的挑戰還不是外部的挑戰。</font><a href=”https://xostrong.com/” style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt”>日本藤素</span></a><span style=”background-color:transparent; 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