<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”> <strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; color:rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif; font-size:18px; font-weight:700; margin:0px; padding:0px; text-align:justify”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>海峽導報綜合報道</font></strong><font dir=”auto” style=”color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>2026年台中市長選舉，最新公佈民調顯示，現階段在民進黨民代何欣純與國民黨民代江啟臣對比下，江領先何18.9個百分點。島內政治評論員、知名精神科醫師沈政男認為，台中市這一局就是江啟臣的了，“民進黨不可能贏得2026台中市長選舉”，並認為國民黨將在台中市長期執政。</font></p>
<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 18px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/4a0f3f2d532a4365812f7d873cc91b38~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1765696014&x-signature=BUfKCv2stg5Nm2AXxJvkp4LCLCU%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”670″ img_width=”1024″ mime_type=”image/png” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/4a0f3f2d532a4365812f7d873cc91b38~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1765696014&x-signature=BUfKCv2stg5Nm2AXxJvkp4LCLCU%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/4bf24790af5a44a5a5f50cf38a5720de” />
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<p data-track=”21″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台灣「CNEWS匯流新聞網」30日公佈的最新民調顯示，若下屆台中市長，國民黨提名江啟臣，民進黨推出何欣純，台中市民有43.9%表態支持江啟臣，25.0%提名何欣純，江啟臣領先何欣純18.9個百分點啟臣，25.1%未挺何欣純，江啟臣領先18.9個百分點，還有31.1%未挺何欣純表。</font></p>
<p data-track=”22″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>沈政男在臉書分析上述民調，認為台中市這一局顯然就是江啟臣的。因台中市的政黨板塊，目前在「六都」中是藍白領先綠營最多的地方，民進黨不可能贏得2026年台中市長選舉。</font></p>
<p data-track=”23″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>沈政男錶示，盧秀燕已經在台中執政快8年，江啟臣接下來也會做8年，國民黨還有好多人等在後頭準備接班。反觀民進黨在台中，政治人物的栽培已經青黃不接。因此沈也斷言，國民黨將在台中市長期執政。</font></p>
<p data-track=”33″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>該民調調查對象為台中市民，內容也顯示，台中市長盧秀燕滿意度高達62％，江啟臣的看好度高達52.7％，大幅領先何欣純的看好度21.5％。該民調也提到，民眾黨支持者有77.9％看好江啟臣，恐怕也是影響差距的重要原因之一。</font></p>
<p data-track=”34″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>台灣中國文化大學廣告系教授鈕則勳指出，江啟臣尚未正式宣布參選，但在支持度與看好度上已遙遙領先對手，形同“史詩級碾壓”，顯示江啟臣確實是藍營普遍認可的人選，已成為外界眼中的定於一尊。鈕則勳認為，國民黨主席鄭麗文與國民黨中央應展現決斷力，從國民黨中央到各縣市都應形成共識，選擇適當時機直接徵召，根本不必再辦初選。</font></p>
<p data-track=”24″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>鈕則勳直言，若採取初選機制，綠營勢必見縫插針、操作藍營內部競爭，甚至藉機挑撥、坐收漁翁之利。江啟臣現任台民意副負責人，若被迫進入初選，綠營與媒體更會聚焦於是否辭職等相關議題，攪亂藍營節奏，並牽動藍白在台民意機構的合作默契。鈕則勳指出，江啟臣與台民意負責人韓國瑜搭配默契良好。韓負責議事協商，江負責機構對外交往，分工明確、戰力互補。若因初選而讓韓被動面對相關表態，反而會削弱藍營在的整體戰力。</font></p>
<p data-track=”36″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px !important;”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>鈕扣勳提到，綠營2022年以內部協調方式徵召蔡其昌，即便何欣純有參選意願，民進黨仍維持蔡原本身亡台民意機構副負責人的高度作為默契，避免外界見縫插針，這也是藍營可藉鏡的案例。鈕勳認為，以鄭麗文的判斷力與魄力，若能透過協調讓江啟臣形成真正的定於一尊態勢，並在適當時機公佈徵召。不僅能展現國民黨中央的責任感，也能鞏固團結，為選舉佈局創造最大利基。</font><a href=”https://oyesex.com/” style=”text-align: left; 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