南部人火大了，最新民調賴清德聲望剩下3成3，台南高雄也崩

<p style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:medium;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;”>&nbsp;<span style=”text-align:justify”><span style=”font-size:18px”><span style=”font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif”><span style=”color:#222222″><span style=”background-color:#ffffff”>台灣民意基金會今公佈最新民調，三成三贊同賴清德處理政府大事的方式，五成四不贊同，最挺他的台南市三成六贊同，四成三不贊同；台灣民意基金會董事長遊盈隆表示，賴清德聲望空前重挫， 民怨如火山爆發，現已深陷嚴重執政困境，系統性政治危機將踵接連。</span></span></span></span></span></p>

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<p data-track=”2″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>他認為，八月賴清德聲望重挫9.6 個百分點，如果再加上七月聲望重挫5.8 個百分點，就是15.4 個百分點。一個百分點約等於19.5 萬人，15.4 個百分點等於流失超過300 萬人支持，這是怎麼造成的？大罷免無疑是單一最重要因素。尤其是726 大罷免大槓龜震驚全台，賴清德某個意義上成為大罷免的替罪羔羊，成為社會大眾歸罪的對象之一，甚至是在野黨眼中的首要戰犯。</span></p>

<p data-track=”3″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>民調顯示，贊同或不贊同賴清德處理政府大事的方式，8.5％非常贊同， 24.8％還算贊同， 24.5％不太贊同，29.9％一點也不贊同，9.5％沒意見，2.8％不知道、拒答。顯示三成三贊同，五成四不贊同，12.3％沒意見、不知道。不贊同者比贊同者多21.1 個百分點。有三成的人強烈不贊同。</span></p>

<p data-track=”4″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>和上個月相比， 「賴清德職務表現贊同率」下滑9.6 個百分點；不贊同率上升9.9 個百分點。這一來一往，使得不贊同他的方式的人比贊同的人多21.1 個百分點。遊盈隆認為，對上任15 個月的賴清德而言，這是一個空前的政治挫敗，罕見流失大量民意支持，儼然是失去民心的開端。</span></p>

<p data-track=”5″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>非常認同他的方式的人下降4.2 個百分點，還算贊同下降5.4 個百分點，不太讚同上揚5.3 個百分點，一點也不贊同同上揚4.6 個百分點。</span></p>

<p data-track=”6″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>他認為，大罷免大失敗，美國對台新關稅20％等相關問題； 丹娜絲南部水災後續處理失當；卓內閣連續五個月施政表現出現赤字，且閣員風波不斷，包括全民發放一萬元爭議、對美外事出現波折（過境紐約未獲同意）、柯文哲司法動盪司法問題；</span></p>

<p data-track=”7″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>賴清德聲望的長期趨勢看，八月出現兩個新紀錄，一個是賴清德職務表現贊同度的新低紀錄， 33.3％； 另一個是，賴清德職務表現不贊同度的最高紀錄，54.4％。如果和2024年5 月剛上任時的聲望相比，2025 年八月聲望下跌24.7 個百分點；如果比較不贊同度，這是一個最典型的「雪崩式下跌」。</span></p>

<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/02a90b4bbcfe40fe881e2c89e2f84a8b~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1755684033&amp;x-signature=ysswlrrgvwDGbttmlFFECZxvfCI%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”404″ img_width=”656″ mime_type=”image/webp” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/02a90b4bbcfe40fe881e2c89e2f84a8b~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1755684033&amp;x-signature=ysswlrrgvwDGbttmlFFECZxvfCI%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/02a90b4bbcfe40fe881e2c89e2f84a8b” />
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<p data-track=”8″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>蔡英文2016 年5 月剛上任時，創下69.9％超高聲望，但在八個月後聲望只剩下33.8％，和現在的賴清德差不多。</span></p>

<p data-track=”9″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>2017 年8 月，就是當年台南市長賴清德點頭北上接任林全的&ldquo;行政院長&rdquo;，才讓蔡英文民意支持度飆升17個百分點，終結第一次執政困境。</span></p>

<p data-track=”10″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>進一步分析，從每個年齡群組，都呈現多數或遠遠過半數不贊同賴清德的方式，尤其25-54 歲最強烈；每一種教育程度民眾，多數或絕大多數都不贊同賴清德的方式，包括一向最力挺他的初中／國中及以下教育程度者。每種職業背景者都呈現多數或絕大多數不贊同賴清德的方式，包括一向最力挺他的退休人員及家庭主婦。</span></p>

<p data-track=”11″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>從省級族群背景來看，河洛人三成六贊同，五成二不贊同；中性選民一成九贊同，五成六不贊同；從6 都16 縣市角度看，包括最力挺他的故鄉台南，三成六贊同，四成三不贊同；高雄市四五贊同，四鄉台南，三成六贊同，四成三不贊同；高雄市四五贊同，四鄉四五贊同，其他三四縣不贊同。他說連賴清德故鄉台南都淪陷，還有什麼比這個更驚悚的事？</span></p>

<p data-track=”12″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;margin-bottom:0px !important;”><span style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>訪問期間2025 年8 月4-6 日；對像以全台為範圍的二十歲以上成年人；抽樣方法市話70％，手機30％。有效樣本1079 人，市話757 人，手機322 人；抽樣誤差在95％信心水準下約正負2.98 個百分點。</span><a href=”https://yeeseex.com/”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>夜色春藥網官網</span></span></span></span></a>&nbsp;<a 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