<p style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:medium;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;”> <span style=”text-align:justify”><span style=”font-size:18px”><span style=”font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif”><span style=”color:#222222″><span style=”background-color:#ffffff”>10月18日，國民黨將舉行黨主席選舉，現任主席朱立倫已宣布交棒，候選人包括「立委」羅智強、前「立委」鄭麗文、前台北市長郝龍斌等。目前選情膠著，三人形成“三足鼎立”態度，羅智強更直言到“無論誰當選，國民黨都不會滅”，但強調團隊協調與兩岸政策方向將是關鍵。</span></span></span></span></span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/8c4be27c825c49be9fb60a81964200e9~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=foqBJ9dK%2FItkU%2FWKIcqUK9xL4YM%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”615″ img_width=”1024″ mime_type=”image/webp” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/8c4be27c825c49be9fb60a81964200e9~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=foqBJ9dK%2FItkU%2FWKIcqUK9xL4YM%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/0e4d904f6f104a468b4bff46071cc48e” />
<p style=”box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;margin-bottom:0px !important;”> </p>
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<p data-track=”2″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>一、三者目前選情如何？誰最有希望獲勝呢？</span></p>
<p data-track=”3″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>截止到9月25日的最新民調顯示，鄭麗文以22.2%的支持率位居第一，尤其在年輕選民和桃竹苗、高屏等地區優勢明顯。其「改革派」形象和犀利口才吸引了基層黨員，網路聲量也居高不下。其優點在於堅持「九二共識」與「台灣人是中國人」等兩岸主張明確，擅長與年輕選民溝通；但劣勢也是較為明顯，就比如對資深黨員凝聚力不足，作為藍營內部「最大票倉」的黃復興黨部，其支持率遠低於郝龍斌。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/ef49f09b31ca4717a89ba8bfe9fda75a~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=a7lLhvYAMbgRjDAmfFKH%2Bdtv6hU%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”500″ img_width=”888″ mime_type=”image/webp” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/ef49f09b31ca4717a89ba8bfe9fda75a~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=a7lLhvYAMbgRjDAmfFKH%2Bdtv6hU%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/ef49f09b31ca4717a89ba8bfe9fda75a” />
<p style=”box-sizing:border-box;padding:0px;border:0px;position:relative;text-align:center;font-size:14px;line-height:20px;color:rgb(153, 153, 153);”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>鄭麗文</span></p>
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<p data-track=”4″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>郝龍斌支持率為20.5%，在北北基、中彰投等傳統藍營票倉表現亮眼，並獲「軍系」退役將領及黃復興黨部的支持。其優勢在於輩分高、經驗豐富，強調「藍白合作」與「世代交替」等主張；但仍面臨缺乏創新政策，因此被年輕選民質疑為與年輕世代脫節。而羅智強支持率18.7%暫居第三，其在雲嘉南、高屏等南部地區優勢突出，他主打“世代交替”，主張與黨內年輕戰將合作，並獲得馬英九的背書。但其基層黨員基礎薄弱，或成競選過程中最大的難題。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/03c93ec3594c4977b552ace6a29894f6~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=DgIHBkCMv2OyfONk%2FYcMFktJ44U%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”707″ img_width=”799″ mime_type=”image/webp” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/03c93ec3594c4977b552ace6a29894f6~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=DgIHBkCMv2OyfONk%2FYcMFktJ44U%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/03c93ec3594c4977b552ace6a29894f6″ />
<p style=”box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;margin-bottom:0px !important;”> </p>
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<p data-track=”5″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>綜合民調與黨內動態來分析，鄭麗文目前以微弱優勢領跑，但郝龍斌與羅智強差距不大，且未決定選民佔比高。如果在穩紮穩打不出意外的情況下，鄭麗文或能成功笑到最後。</span></p>
<p data-track=”6″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>二、羅智強此番表態意欲何為呢？</span></p>
<p data-track=”7″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>根據小編對目前競選局勢的分析，鄭麗文獲連戰家族支持，郝龍斌則有軍系背書，而羅智強則面臨「非主流派系」的質疑。羅智強透過此表態，試圖弱化黨內「擁鄭派」「挺郝派」的對立，強調「刀口不向內」的團結原則。就比如說，藍營就曾因「馬王政爭」導致支持率暴跌，同時羅智強以「2024藍白合失敗因信任不足」為例，強調黨內需避免分裂，否則將難以對抗民進黨，其表態旨在重建黨員對「團結優先」的共識。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/994c65c16a5e4f9abdf77c49a4d80115~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=86ZD164oLK1ZDQDqRuAACu41VZs%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”770″ img_width=”1080″ mime_type=”image/webp” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/994c65c16a5e4f9abdf77c49a4d80115~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=86ZD164oLK1ZDQDqRuAACu41VZs%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/994c65c16a5e4f9abdf77c49a4d80115″ />
<p style=”box-sizing:border-box;padding:0px;border:0px;position:relative;text-align:center;font-size:14px;line-height:20px;color:rgb(153, 153, 153);”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>羅智強</span></p>
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<p data-track=”8″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>三、白營對此態度如何呢？</span></p>
<p data-track=”10″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>對於藍白合作，白營黨團主任陳智菡肯定郝龍斌的親和力與溝通能力，認為其「挺柯前先徵詢白營意見」的做法值得肯定，但強調「合作需避免2024年藍白合的教訓」。而白營黨主席黃國昌則提出，藍白合作需以「制度性協商」為基礎，而非依賴個人關係。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/de46672ad2484c79822a6fb4c93977a1~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=xoZUqLmWU9Endh4AN%2Bd3M9ql%2BYA%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”582″ img_width=”1040″ mime_type=”image/webp” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/de46672ad2484c79822a6fb4c93977a1~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=xoZUqLmWU9Endh4AN%2Bd3M9ql%2BYA%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/de46672ad2484c79822a6fb4c93977a1″ />
<p style=”box-sizing:border-box;padding:0px;border:0px;position:relative;text-align:center;font-size:14px;line-height:20px;color:rgb(153, 153, 153);”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>陳智菡</span></p>
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<p data-track=”11″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>要知道，白營對鄭麗文「不統不獨」的模糊立場保持警惕。儘管她近期高喊“台灣人是中國人”，但統派批評其政策缺乏連貫性，可能削弱藍白合作的政治基礎。對此，白營內部認為，如果鄭麗文當選，藍營可能會重回“保守路線”，將不利於兩黨共同對抗綠營。反觀羅智強，白營對其評價很高。黃國昌對其「世代交替」主張很感興趣，尤其是其與年輕世代溝通的能力。但柯文哲被羈押事件發生後，白營對國民黨「政治迫害」的指控持保留態度，並要求羅智強提出具體平反措施，但截止到目前，羅智強還沒有給出答复，對此白營態度目前仍搖擺不定。</span><a href=”https://yeeseex.com/”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span 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<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/174ddd37feb644a7b18bd593af18641e~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=XvV99vKdbWEd9nqNgW0LjzSjSsY%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”459″ img_width=”750″ mime_type=”image/webp” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/174ddd37feb644a7b18bd593af18641e~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1759484144&x-signature=XvV99vKdbWEd9nqNgW0LjzSjSsY%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/174ddd37feb644a7b18bd593af18641e” />
<p style=”box-sizing:border-box;padding:0px;border:0px;position:relative;text-align:center;font-size:14px;line-height:20px;color:rgb(153, 153, 153);”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>黃國昌</span></p>
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<p data-track=”12″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>作為「先行者」的朱立倫來講，在面對如今競選局勢緊繃的情況下，其應發揮出領導者的責任與擔當。但據小編觀察，朱立倫不但沒有出面讓局勢降溫，反而暗中支持郝龍斌，加劇黨內的分裂。這種「有小我，無大我」的政治觀令人氣憤，而身為藍營「主心骨」的盧秀燕對此會怎麼想、怎麼做呢？讓我們拭目以待吧！</span></p>
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