賴清德最新民調曝光跌破眼鏡，吳子嘉爆4原因

<p style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:medium;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;”>&nbsp;<span style=”text-align:justify”><span style=”font-size:18px”><span style=”font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif”><span style=”background-color:#ffffff”>根據《美麗島電子報》公佈的最新9月民調，民眾對賴清德信任度，有37.5%信任，增加1.5個百分點，不信任的有52.3%，下降2.8個百分點；對賴清德執政滿意度，有35.5%滿意，增加4.5個百分點，57.0%不滿意度，減少3個百分點。對此，台灣名嘴資深媒體人吳子嘉表示，賴清德9月民調成長8個百分點。他本來以為會更慘，結果跌破眼鏡。因為賴清德做了幾件好的事情，包括大罷免的結束，藍綠對立逐漸降溫等4個因素。</span></span></span></span></p>

<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:0px 0px 18px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/f07eba3df6da4325b2c43d98fbe5868c~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1759572824&amp;x-signature=%2B5a2FfBGYFE3YSTWZ4fiRL1MdRQ%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”728″ img_width=”1196″ mime_type=”image/webp” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/f07eba3df6da4325b2c43d98fbe5868c~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1759572824&amp;x-signature=%2B5a2FfBGYFE3YSTWZ4fiRL1MdRQ%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/624443b18a12437da839f5282e843117″ />
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<p data-track=”3″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:0px 0px 8px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; padding:0px”><span style=”color:#000000″><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>針對賴清德最新民調，吳子嘉今(26日)在《董事長開講》網絡直播節目中表示，當你不鬧事、規規矩矩做一個好的當家人跟好的政府，老百姓給你的掌聲、民調，就恢復正常。島內整體經濟現況評價，正向評價高達30.4％，上揚3.8個百分點；負向評價63.9％，下降5個百分點，來回正負評價8.8個百分點。這表示社會上期待安和樂利的心態，但這不是最後的終局，因為台灣目前來講，後面有關稅危機等著我們，當關稅來臨的時候，經濟評價就會面臨嚴酷的挑戰。</span></span></span></p>

<p data-track=”4″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;height:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”>&nbsp;</p>

<p data-track=”5″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:0px 0px 8px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; padding:0px”><span style=”color:#000000″><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>吳子嘉接著表示，賴清德的信任度37.5％，上升1.5個百分點，不信任度52.3％，降低2.8個百分點，信任度漲跌非常緩慢。稍微有一點起伏，大部分在誤差範圍內；他的滿意度35.5％，上升4.5個百分點，不滿意57.0％，降低3.5個百分點，來回差8個百分點。</span></span></span></p>

<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:0px 0px 18px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/f78174362586415fbe027f4cfc970436~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1759572824&amp;x-signature=u6tkpRHfY%2BGrIppfiCDlN4si0MI%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”900″ img_width=”1700″ mime_type=”image/webp” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/f78174362586415fbe027f4cfc970436~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1759572824&amp;x-signature=u6tkpRHfY%2BGrIppfiCDlN4si0MI%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/f78174362586415fbe027f4cfc970436″ />
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<p data-track=”7″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:0px 0px 8px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; padding:0px”><span style=”color:#000000″><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>吳子嘉表示，他本來以為會更慘，結果跌破眼鏡，他之前的判斷失準。賴清德9月民調成長8個百分點，這是好的現象。賴清德現在做了幾件好的事情︰1.大罷免的結束，藍綠對立逐漸降溫；2.賴政府續推民生政策，「新青安」、普發一萬元等；3.曹興誠、網紅「八炯」等人新聞消失；4.民進黨銘立法院聲音衰退。</span></span></span></p>

<p data-track=”8″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;height:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”>&nbsp;</p>

<p data-track=”9″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; padding:0px”><span style=”color:#000000″><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>該民調調查時間為2025年9月23日至9月25日。調查規劃：戴立安（問卷設計與分析。並委託畢肯市場研究公司執行電訪）。調查方法：由訪員進行的電腦輔助電話存取方式（CATI）。調查對象：設籍全台22縣市，年滿20歲的民眾。抽樣設計：住宅電話與行動電話雙架構抽樣，住宅電話以「等比分層隨機抽樣」後再進行隨機跳號處理，行動電話則依「數位發展部」公佈的編碼字首進行後5碼隨機跳號處理。樣本規模：成功完訪1,077 人（住宅電話699 人、行動電話378 人），合併樣本在信賴水準95%時的抽樣誤差最大值為&plusmn;3.0%。</span></span></span><a 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