<p style=”color:rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Times New Roman;font-size:medium;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-align:left;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;”> <span style=”text-align:justify”><span style=”font-size:18px”><span style=”font-family:pingfang sc,hiragino sans gb,microsoft yahei,wenquanyi micro hei,helvetica neue,arial,sans-serif”><span style=”color:#222222″><span style=”background-color:#ffffff”>中美會晤已經結束，善於極限施壓的川普，為何這次主動放棄了一大「籌碼」？</span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p data-track=”2″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>最近，中美兩國在韓國釜山舉行了最高層級的會晤，這是美國總統川普再次上台後，和中方的首次會晤。</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>那麼這場會晤有什麼看點呢？說兩點：</span></strong></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/b3b95391117d4c278b82601d11d66cde~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1762508621&x-signature=rmvHL7ozGvQawkyMU8ZVXlFPbIc%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”700″ img_width=”1000″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/b3b95391117d4c278b82601d11d66cde~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1762508621&x-signature=rmvHL7ozGvQawkyMU8ZVXlFPbIc%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/b3b95391117d4c278b82601d11d66cde” />
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<p data-track=”3″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>第一，依照川普的說法，中美會晤過程中，並沒有聊到台灣問題。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>這非常反常，因為一直以來，操弄台灣問題最積極的國家就是美國，所以這次會談之前，就有很多聲音預測，</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>說台灣問題一定是中美會晤的“必談題”，可為什麼特朗普卻選擇了主動放棄呢？</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>從</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>歷史因素來看</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>，川普在第一任期的時候就曾因為簽署了一系列涉台法案，導致中美貿易談判破裂。而在這次會晤之前，咱們曾多次強調“台灣問題是紅線”，而且也在最近的兩岸關係表述中刪除了“和平統一”中的“和平”二字，這已經體現了中方對統一的決心。所以歷史的教訓，讓川普意識到了，如果重蹈覆轍，那這次來之不易的中美高層會晤結果，可能會被直接葬送，所以川普不得不小心謹慎的避開台灣問題。</span></p>
<p data-track=”4″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>其次，</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>是美國內部的原因</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>。共和黨內部的「美國優先」派，和軍工複合體有利益分歧。前者主張減少海外幹預以集中資源解決國內問題，後者則依賴對外軍售來獲取利潤。川普作為「美國優先」的代表，選擇在會晤中擱置台灣問題，既是對軍工複合體這個「金主」的策略性安撫，避免直接衝突導致軍售中斷，也是給自己派系一個交代，同時也為了爭取中間選民支持，塑造「務實領導人」形象。</span></p>
<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p6-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e50635219bee44fd8a6cdf0e25e38821~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1762508621&x-signature=V%2FbQ%2FOiesbxNoSPOibWmo0NBkmc%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”846″ img_width=”1368″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p6-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e50635219bee44fd8a6cdf0e25e38821~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1762508621&x-signature=V%2FbQ%2FOiesbxNoSPOibWmo0NBkmc%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/e50635219bee44fd8a6cdf0e25e38821″ />
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<p data-track=”5″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>最後，可以看得出來，</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>川普雖然沒有提到台灣問題，但他還是在玩模糊戰略。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>他說“台灣就是台灣”，既不明確支持“台獨”，避免惡化中美關係，也不重申“一個中國” 原則，這是在安撫島內“台獨”勢力。這種話術平衡，說穿了就是他第一任期極限施壓策略的變種，同時也是為了他未來政策調整預留空間。</span></p>
<p data-track=”6″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>值得注意的是，在中美會晤的背景下，美國內智庫和媒體都對「台獨」勢力提出了批評，甚至是把台灣地區領導人賴清德叫做「魯莽者」。</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>這顯示美國內部其實有不少人認為，美國應該和民進黨當局做切割，不要因為幫助民進黨，而惹禍上身、引火燒身。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>由此可見，在美國出現「棄台」苗頭，以及大陸的堅定統一決心之下，賴清德注定只會收穫一個悲劇。</span></p>
<p data-track=”7″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:20px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>再說第二點，就是中美這次會晤結束後，沒有發布聯合聲明</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>。這其實很正常，中美關係是全球最重要的雙邊關係，既然是最重要的，那出現問題，解決起來也肯定很麻煩，不是一天兩天就能談成的。</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>事實上，就算這次會晤沒有發布聯合聲明，但也還是發揮了不容忽視的積極作用的。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>為什麼這麼說？看川普的動作就知道了，他不光立刻降低了對華加徵的芬太尼關稅，而且還敲定了明年4月的訪華行程：</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>關稅一降低，意味的是，中國商品在美國市場將變得更加具有競爭力</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>，中美之間的貿易額也會隨之增加；至於</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>確定訪華華加徵，則說明中非常有必要雙方都認可，在當前的溝通情況下，保持高程有必要的溝通是必要，在當前溝通情況下，保持在目前有必要的情況。</span></strong><a href=”https://yeeseex.com/”><span><span style=”font-size:12pt”><span style=”color:#ff0000″><span style=”font-family:宋体”>夜色春藥網官網</span></span></span></span></a> <a href=”https://yeeseex.com/shop/”><span><span 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<div style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin:18px 0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;”><img alt=”" data-src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/263a675ccb3842aba8bc13b57e07d836~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1762508621&x-signature=xPKl6gSNWMB3cvsxYDGQxbfTIMM%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”720″ img_width=”1280″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/263a675ccb3842aba8bc13b57e07d836~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1762508621&x-signature=xPKl6gSNWMB3cvsxYDGQxbfTIMM%3D” style=”cursor:zoom-in;box-sizing:border-box;border:0px;margin:0px auto 8px;padding:0px;max-width:100%;display:block;border-radius:4px;height:auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/263a675ccb3842aba8bc13b57e07d836″ />
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<p data-track=”8″ style=”font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;orphans:2;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;widows:2;word-spacing:0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width:0px;white-space:normal;text-decoration-thickness:initial;text-decoration-style:initial;box-sizing:border-box;margin-top:20px;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;text-align:justify;margin-bottom:0px !important;”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>不過，我們還是要保持警惕，因為川普迴避台灣問題，並不是真心實意的妥協，而更像是一種基於現實利益考量的「策略性退縮」。</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>華盛頓也透過經濟施壓、軍事滲透等手段，持續維繫對台灣地區的影響力。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>那我們要做的是什麼呢？答案很明確，就是要</span><strong style=”border:0px; box-sizing:border-box; font-weight:700; padding:0px”><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>堅定不移的發展、強化自己。</span></strong><span dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing:border-box; vertical-align:inherit”>只有讓美國無時無刻不意識到，操弄“台灣牌”的所謂“戰略價值”，抵不上和中國全面對抗所帶來的巨大風險之後，美國自然會選擇“及時止損”。</span></p>
