台南「妃憲之爭」激鬥黃暐瀚曝1狀況：賴清德就要下台了

<p style=”color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;”>&nbsp;</p>

<div class=”pgc-img” style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 18px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><img alt=”" class=”syl-page-img” data-src=”https://p26-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/7ae31adb64a540209b4bdf182ea9dcff~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1760511702&amp;x-signature=3o39Axk13fx7PB32%2F%2B%2BcgyhOwog%3D” image_type=”1″ img_height=”528″ img_width=”800″ mime_type=”image/jpeg” src=”https://p26-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/7ae31adb64a540209b4bdf182ea9dcff~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&amp;from=article.pc_detail&amp;lk3s=953192f4&amp;x-expires=1760511702&amp;x-signature=3o39Axk13fx7PB32%2F%2B%2BcgyhOwog%3D” style=”cursor: zoom-in; box-sizing: border-box; border: 0px; margin: 0px auto 8px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; display: block; border-radius: 4px; height: auto;” title=”" web_uri=”tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/0e9925c45aff436abd6925897924da28″ />
<p class=”pgc-img-caption” style=”box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px !important;”>&nbsp;</p>
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<p data-track=”3″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>民進黨台南市長初選激鬥，民代陳亭妃、林俊憲的「妃憲之爭」成為政壇焦點，資深媒體人黃暐瀚4日在政論節目《TVBS戰情室》中分析，目前關注焦點是林俊憲與陳亭妃誰會出線，至今尚未看到陳亭妃落後的民調，不過距離明年1月初選只剩3個個多月，時間相當緊迫，除非發生驚天動地的大事，否則情勢不太可能有重大改變。</font></p>

<p data-track=”14″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>黃暐瀚指出，觀察重點在於如果陳亭妃獲得提名後，她與林俊憲的關係若持續惡化，那國民黨民代謝龍介的機會就來了，但若提名後，民代賴惠員、林宜瑾、郭國文、林俊憲等4人組都出現在陳亭妃的記者會上展現團結，那謝龍介就打了。</font></p>

<p data-track=”15″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>黃暐瀚進一步分析，國民黨在大罷免之後，藍白合作氣氛正濃，國民黨也希望2026年選舉不會選太差，他認為關鍵點還是在2028年能不能贏。</font></p>

<p data-track=”16″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>另方面，從綠營角度來分析，黃暐瀚認為，民進黨目前執政的嘉義縣、台南市、高雄市、屏東縣、澎湖縣等5個縣市，只要掉一個，賴清德就要下台，但如果這&ldquo;5綠&rdquo;都守住，賴清德還是民進黨主席，他就可能繼續參選202年地區選舉領導人，他就可能繼續參選202年地區選舉領導人，他就可能繼續參選2022年。</font></p>

<p data-track=”17″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 20px 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>另外，面對台南競選廣告看板大幅減少，民進黨內人士表示，在風災時，因為安全考慮，很多都先拆下，同時也考慮到災後民眾感受問題，所以在風災發生以來3個月，尤其&ldquo;7. 26」大罷免後，台南地方政治活動都不敢大張旗鼓，就算舉行相關記者會，也是以民生議題為主，因為台南都還處在復原期，災後重建工作還沒完成，就怕哪個舉動造成反效果。但經過3個月，現在災後重建家園的進度，也到一個程度，民眾對市長選舉的注意度也會慢慢回來，民進黨內初選競爭的各類動作，也將浮回檯面。</font></p>

<p data-track=”18″ style=”font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px !important;”><font dir=”auto” style=”box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: inherit;”>對於先前廣告牌多到遭網友酸爆的林俊憲廣告牌也所剩無幾，有地方人士提到，林俊憲的廣告牌一開始是打知名度，可是現在林俊憲的民調已經起來了，在知名度上基本不輸陳亭妃，本來是用因地制宜的政績文架，例如成功在哪些廣告牌上</font><a href=”https://lion19.com/” style=”text-align: left; 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color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt; text-align:left”>&nbsp;</span><a href=”https://lion19.com/product-category/outwoman/20″ style=”text-align: left; background-color: transparent;”><span class=”15″ style=”color:rgb(255, 0, 0); font-family:宋体; font-size:12pt”>乳頭刺激液</span></a></p>